Benevento 4-0 Foggia Calcio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 22 Sep 2024

📅22/09/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.8
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
29%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.78
Over 2.5
50%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.85
No
53%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
3.06
2-3 Goals
37%
1.78
4-5 Goals
25%
3.82
6+ Goals
9%
16.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
13%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
52%
-5.8pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.9pp
30%
Away Win
23%
+6.8pp
50%
Under 2.5
52%
-2.0pp
50%
Over 2.5
48%
+2.0pp
47%
BTTS Yes
50%
-3.2pp
53%
BTTS No
50%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Benevento EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Foggia Calcio EU Bookmakers 26%
+17% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -12%
1.87/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.38/1.58
+29% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +38% / -23%
51% Ball Possession 49%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
342 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Benevento
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Foggia Calcio
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.60 xG 0.96
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
384 Passes 294
84% Pass Accuracy 78%
21 Box Touches 12
31 Crosses 11
4 Yellow Cards 2
02.03.2024 Benevento Benevento 1-0 HT 0-0 Foggia Calcio Foggia Calcio İTC
26.10.2023 Foggia Calcio Foggia Calcio 0-0 HT 0-0 Benevento Benevento İTC
23.02.2019 Foggia Calcio Foggia Calcio 1-1 HT 0-0 Benevento Benevento İTB
30.09.2018 Benevento Benevento 1-3 HT 1-1 Foggia Calcio Foggia Calcio İTB
09.12.2015 Foggia Calcio Foggia Calcio 3-2 HT 3-1 Benevento Benevento İTCK
20.09.2015 Benevento Benevento 1-0 HT 1-0 Foggia Calcio Foggia Calcio İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Benevento
4-0
AWAY Foggia Calcio
47% Ball Possession 53%
17 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 13
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Benevento vs Foggia Calcio
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Benevento ran out comfortable winners over Foggia Calcio 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Benevento as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Benevento had 47% of the ball to Foggia Calcio's 53%, shots finished 17-14.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Benevento and 1.17 for Foggia Calcio.

What was the final score of Benevento vs Foggia Calcio?

Benevento 4-0 Foggia Calcio in the Italy - Serie C on 22/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Benevento vs Foggia Calcio?

Before kick-off our model rated a Benevento win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Benevento 46%, draw 25%, Foggia Calcio 30%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Benevento), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Benevento) ✓ BTTS No
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