Lumezzane 2-1 Atalanta II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 22 Sep 2024

📅22/09/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.84
Draw
25%
3.11
Away
43%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.64
Over 2.5
51%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.9
No
47%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2.63
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
24%
4.47
6+ Goals
11%
23.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
13%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
19%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
32%
+0.1pp
25%
Draw
29%
-3.6pp
43%
Away Win
39%
+3.5pp
49%
Under 2.5
57%
-8.2pp
51%
Over 2.5
43%
+8.2pp
53%
BTTS Yes
49%
+4.7pp
47%
BTTS No
51%
-4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lumezzane EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Atalanta II EU Bookmakers 43%
-15% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
1.23/1.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.71/0.70
+12% / -34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -44% / +52%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
349 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 273 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lumezzane
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Atalanta II
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 3
05.03.2024 Atalanta II Atalanta II 1-0 HT 1-0 Lumezzane Lumezzane İTC
28.10.2023 Lumezzane Lumezzane 1-2 HT 1-0 Atalanta II Atalanta II İTC
04.10.2023 Lumezzane Lumezzane 2-2 HT 1-0 Atalanta II Atalanta II İTCK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lumezzane
2-1
AWAY Atalanta II
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 5
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Lumezzane vs Atalanta II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lumezzane nicked a narrow win over Atalanta II 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match lean was Atalanta II at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Lumezzane had 51% of the ball to Atalanta II's 49%, shots finished 14-8.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Atalanta II led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Lumezzane and 1.67 for Atalanta II.

What was the final score of Lumezzane vs Atalanta II?

Lumezzane 2-1 Atalanta II in the Italy - Serie C on 22/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lumezzane vs Atalanta II?

Before kick-off our model rated an Atalanta II win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Lumezzane 32%, draw 25%, Atalanta II 43%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Atalanta II) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Atalanta II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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