Trento AC 1-0 Caldiero Terme — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 22 Sep 2024

📅22/09/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.09
Draw
27%
3.04
Away
34%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.52
Over 2.5
40%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.09
No
60%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2.29
2-3 Goals
38%
1.79
4-5 Goals
18%
5.35
6+ Goals
7%
34.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
11%
X/2
9%
X/X
17%
2/1
7%
2/2
21%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
44%
-4.8pp
27%
Draw
29%
-2.9pp
34%
Away Win
27%
+7.6pp
60%
Under 2.5
62%
-1.6pp
40%
Over 2.5
38%
+1.6pp
40%
BTTS Yes
44%
-3.9pp
60%
BTTS No
56%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Trento AC EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Caldiero Terme EU Bookmakers 30%
-13% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +64% / +64%
0.87/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.00/2.00
-34% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / -39%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
314 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Trento AC
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Caldiero Terme
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
66% Ball Possession 34%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 1
17.08.2024 Caldiero Terme 2-0 HT 1-0 Trento AC Trento AC İTCK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Trento AC
1-0
AWAY Caldiero Terme
47% Ball Possession 53%
19 Total Shots 14
9 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Trento AC vs Caldiero Terme
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Trento AC edged past Caldiero Terme 1-0.

Our pre-match split (39% / 27% / 34%) promised a tight game; Trento AC found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (60%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Trento AC had 47% of the ball to Caldiero Terme's 53%, shots finished 19-14.

What was the final score of Trento AC vs Caldiero Terme?

Trento AC 1-0 Caldiero Terme in the Italy - Serie C on 22/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Trento AC vs Caldiero Terme?

Before kick-off our model rated a Trento AC win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Trento AC 39%, draw 27%, Caldiero Terme 34%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Trento AC), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Trento AC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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