Ascoli vs Lucchese Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Ascoli v Lucchese — Team-Based Signals
Ascoli vs Lucchese Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
3-1
HT 2-0
Lucchese
İTC
Ascoli 1-2 Lucchese — Actual Match Statistics
Lucchese nicked a narrow win over Ascoli 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Ascoli at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.
On the day, Ascoli had 48% of the ball to Lucchese's 52%, shots finished 9-15.
What was the final score of Ascoli vs Lucchese?
Ascoli 1-2 Lucchese in the Italy - Serie C on 22/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Ascoli vs Lucchese?
Before kick-off our model rated a Ascoli win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Ascoli 45%, draw 27%, Lucchese 28%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.