Pianese 1-1 Virtus Entella — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 22 Sep 2024

Pianese
1-1 HT 1-0
Virtus Entella
📅22/09/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Italy - Serie C – 2024/2025

Pianese vs Virtus Entella Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
3.29
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
36%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.62
Over 2.5
40%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.96
No
59%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
37%
2.56
2-3 Goals
37%
1.77
4-5 Goals
18%
4.6
6+ Goals
8%
24.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.56 — our 37% vs market 32.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
10%
X/X
18%
2/1
6%
2/2
19%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
28%
+7.1pp
29%
Draw
28%
+0.5pp
36%
Away Win
44%
-7.7pp
60%
Under 2.5
58%
+1.9pp
40%
Over 2.5
42%
-1.9pp
41%
BTTS Yes
47%
-5.5pp
59%
BTTS No
53%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Pianese v Virtus Entella — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pianese EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Virtus Entella EU Bookmakers 48%
+13% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +8%
2.10/1.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/0.90
+100% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / +10%
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
276 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 382 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.5

Pianese 1-1 Virtus Entella — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pianese
1-1
AWAY Virtus Entella
49% Ball Possession 51%
5 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Pianese vs Virtus Entella
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pianese and Virtus Entella couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (35% / 29% / 36%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (60%) landed while no to both teams scoring (59%) missed.

On the day, Pianese had 49% of the ball to Virtus Entella's 51%, shots finished 5-14.

What was the final score of Pianese vs Virtus Entella?

Pianese 1-1 Virtus Entella in the Italy - Serie C on 22/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pianese vs Virtus Entella?

Before kick-off our model rated an Virtus Entella win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Pianese 35%, draw 29%, Virtus Entella 36%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Virtus Entella), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Virtus Entella) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İTC More Italy - Serie C
22 Sep 2024
17:15 Trapani 1905 vs Juventus II Analysis →
19:30 Trento AC vs Caldiero Terme Analysis →
19:30 Lumezzane vs Atalanta II Analysis →
19:30 Ascoli vs Lucchese Analysis →
19:30 SSC Giugliano vs Catania Analysis →
21:45 Benevento vs Foggia Calcio Analysis →