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Freiburg (K) vs Bayer Leverkusen (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Freiburg (K) v Bayer Leverkusen (K) — Team-Based Signals
Freiburg (K) vs Bayer Leverkusen (K) Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
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Freiburg (K) 1-2 Bayer Leverkusen (K) — Actual Match Statistics
Bayer Leverkusen (K) squeezed past Freiburg (K) 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Bayer Leverkusen (K) as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (57%) came in.
On the day, Freiburg (K) had 57% of the ball to Bayer Leverkusen (K)'s 43%, shots finished 6-23, expected goals 0.22 to 2.23 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Bayer Leverkusen (K)'s control.
For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Bayer Leverkusen (K) led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Freiburg (K) and 1.67 for Bayer Leverkusen (K).
What was the final score of Freiburg (K) vs Bayer Leverkusen (K)?
Freiburg (K) 1-2 Bayer Leverkusen (K) in the Germany - Women's Bundesliga on 26/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Freiburg (K) vs Bayer Leverkusen (K)?
Before kick-off our model rated an Bayer Leverkusen (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Freiburg (K) 29%, draw 25%, Bayer Leverkusen (K) 47%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bayer Leverkusen (K)), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.