Beerschot VA 0-4 Union Saint-Gilloise — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 26 Jan 2025

Beerschot VA
0-4 HT 0-3
Union Saint-Gilloise
📅26/01/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Belgium - Pro League – 2025/2026

Beerschot VA vs Union Saint-Gilloise Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
5.4
Draw
29%
4.19
Away
50%
1.46
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.0
Over 2.5
54%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.96
No
46%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
3.57
2-3 Goals
46%
1.79
4-5 Goals
25%
3.18
6+ Goals
9%
11.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
11.55
1/2
5%
22.55
1/X
7%
20.3
X/1
8%
13.4
X/2
14%
3.79
X/X
12%
6.15
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
31%
1.74
2/X EV+ ✗
10%
17.7
Value flag · 2/X at 17.7 — our 10% vs market 3.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
15%
+5.6pp
29%
Draw
21%
+8.2pp
50%
Away Win
64%
-13.9pp
46%
Under 2.5
46%
-0.3pp
54%
Over 2.5
54%
+0.3pp
54%
BTTS Yes
47%
+7.1pp
46%
BTTS No
53%
-7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Beerschot VA v Union Saint-Gilloise — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Beerschot VA EU Bookmakers 18%
Head to Head
AWAY Union Saint-Gilloise EU Bookmakers 69%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +3%
1.43/1.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.96/0.92
+43% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +26% / -9%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 7
282 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 386 · 78%
16.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.4
15.2 Crosses 19.4
3.1 Yellow Cards 2.3

Beerschot VA vs Union Saint-Gilloise Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Beerschot VA
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Union Saint-Gilloise
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
0.65 xG 1.93
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 6
324 Passes 412
80% Pass Accuracy 82%
14 Box Touches 24
19 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
02.08.2024 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise 3-1 HT 2-0 Beerschot VA Beerschot VA BEL
10.04.2022 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise 5-0 HT 0-0 Beerschot VA Beerschot VA BEL
07.08.2021 Beerschot VA Beerschot VA 0-3 HT 0-1 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise BEL
18.01.2020 Beerschot VA Beerschot VA 1-1 HT 0-0 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise BEL2
01.12.2019 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise 0-2 HT 0-1 Beerschot VA Beerschot VA BEL2
06.10.2019 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise 1-1 HT 0-0 Beerschot VA Beerschot VA BEL2
POST-MATCH Beerschot VA vs Union Saint-Gilloise
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Union Saint-Gilloise cruised past Beerschot VA 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-3.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Union Saint-Gilloise as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Union Saint-Gilloise led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Beerschot VA and 2.17 for Union Saint-Gilloise.

What was the final score of Beerschot VA vs Union Saint-Gilloise?

Beerschot VA 0-4 Union Saint-Gilloise in the Belgium - Pro League on 26/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Beerschot VA vs Union Saint-Gilloise?

Before kick-off our model rated an Union Saint-Gilloise win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Beerschot VA 21%, draw 29%, Union Saint-Gilloise 50%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Union Saint-Gilloise), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Union Saint-Gilloise) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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