Standard Liege 1-0 Dender EH — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 26 Jan 2025

📅26/01/2025 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.38
Draw
28%
2.94
Away
31%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.67
Over 2.5
47%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.85
No
48%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.63
2-3 Goals
41%
1.74
4-5 Goals
20%
4.16
6+ Goals
9%
20.75
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
3.65
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
10%
12.65
X/1
13%
5.4
X/2
13%
6.07
X/X
15%
3.91
2/1
5%
31.0
2/2
12%
4.38
2/X
3%
12.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
38%
+2.5pp
28%
Draw
30%
-1.8pp
31%
Away Win
32%
-0.6pp
53%
Under 2.5
56%
-3.0pp
47%
Over 2.5
44%
+3.0pp
52%
BTTS Yes
50%
+1.8pp
48%
BTTS No
50%
-1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Standard Liege EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Dender EH EU Bookmakers 36%
+4% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +16%
1.33/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.82/1.59
-32% / +38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +96% / -28%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
297 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 77%
23.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 30.0
19.4 Crosses 26.5
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Standard Liege
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Dender EH
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.83 xG 0.93
32% Ball Possession 68%
6 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 3
0 Corners 8
223 Passes 543
72% Pass Accuracy 85%
8 Box Touches 38
4 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 2
13.09.2024 Dender EH Dender EH 0-2 HT 0-1 Standard Liege Standard Liege BEL
08.11.2022 Dender EH Dender EH 0-1 HT 0-0 Standard Liege Standard Liege BEK
17.01.2009 Standard Liege Standard Liege 3-2 HT 2-2 Dender EH Dender EH BEL
16.08.2008 Dender EH Dender EH 1-3 HT 0-1 Standard Liege Standard Liege BEL
03.05.2008 Standard Liege Standard Liege 3-0 HT 2-0 Dender EH Dender EH BEL
15.12.2007 Dender EH Dender EH 0-0 HT 0-0 Standard Liege Standard Liege BEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Standard Liege
1-0
AWAY Dender EH
1.33 xG 1.33
35% Ball Possession 65%
9 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 11
210 Passes 452
67% Pass Accuracy 80%
14 Box Touches 46
12 Crosses 35
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Standard Liege vs Dender EH
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Standard Liege nicked a narrow win over Dender EH 1-0.

Our pre-match split (40% / 28% / 31%) promised a tight game; Standard Liege found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Standard Liege had 35% of the ball to Dender EH's 65%, shots finished 9-14, expected goals 1.33 to 1.33.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Standard Liege had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Standard Liege and 0.50 for Dender EH.

What was the final score of Standard Liege vs Dender EH?

Standard Liege 1-0 Dender EH in the Belgium - Pro League on 26/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Standard Liege vs Dender EH?

Before kick-off our model rated a Standard Liege win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Standard Liege 40%, draw 28%, Dender EH 31%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Standard Liege), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Standard Liege) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
BEL More Belgium - Pro League
26 Jan 2025
18:00 Beerschot VA vs Union Saint-Gilloise Analysis →
20:30 Anderlecht vs Mechelen Analysis →
21:15 OH Leuven vs Gent Analysis →