Richards Bay 1-3 Orlando Pirates — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Afrika - Cup, 26 Jan 2025

📅26/01/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
5.34
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
50%
1.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under
62%
1.59
Over
38%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
2.33
No Pick
64%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1
35%
2.29
2-3
40%
1.72
4-5
19%
4.68
6+
6%
27.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
34%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS No — 64%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
23%
Home Win
16%
+7.2pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.4pp
50%
Away Win
58%
-8.6pp
62%
Under 2.5
59%
+2.9pp
38%
Over 2.5
41%
-2.9pp
36%
BTTS Yes
39%
-2.4pp
64%
BTTS No
61%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Richards Bay The Market 19%
Head to Head
AWAY Orlando Pirates The Market 62%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +22% / +22%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -34% /
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
233 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 352 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Richards Bay
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Orlando Pirates
0.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
0.41 xG 1.38
33% Ball Possession 67%
8 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 8
206 Passes 523
71% Pass Accuracy 86%
9 Box Touches 26
12 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
05.11.2024 Orlando Pirates Orlando Pirates 1-0 HT 1-0 Richards Bay Richards Bay GAFPSL
29.09.2024 Richards Bay Richards Bay 0-1 HT 0-0 Orlando Pirates Orlando Pirates GAFPSL
11.05.2024 Orlando Pirates Orlando Pirates 0-1 HT 0-1 Richards Bay Richards Bay GAFPSL
25.11.2023 Richards Bay Richards Bay 0-0 HT 0-0 Orlando Pirates Orlando Pirates GAFPSL
04.11.2023 Richards Bay Richards Bay 0-0 HT 0-0 Orlando Pirates Orlando Pirates GAFLK
01.04.2023 Richards Bay Richards Bay 0-2 HT 0-1 Orlando Pirates Orlando Pirates GAFPSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Richards Bay
1-3
AWAY Orlando Pirates
1.20 xG 1.20
43% Ball Possession 57%
7 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
248 Passes 361
75% Pass Accuracy 83%
20 Box Touches 18
17 Crosses 8
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Richards Bay vs Orlando Pirates
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Orlando Pirates beat Richards Bay 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Orlando Pirates as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (64%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Richards Bay had 43% of the ball to Orlando Pirates's 57%, shots finished 7-9, expected goals 1.20 to 1.20.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Orlando Pirates led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.17 goals for Richards Bay and 0.67 for Orlando Pirates.

What was the final score of Richards Bay vs Orlando Pirates?

Richards Bay 1-3 Orlando Pirates in the South Afrika - Cup on 26/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Richards Bay vs Orlando Pirates?

Before kick-off our model rated an Orlando Pirates win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Richards Bay 23%, draw 27%, Orlando Pirates 50%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Orlando Pirates) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Orlando Pirates) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →