Hong Kong Rangers 1-0 Hong Kong FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hong Kong - Premier League, 26 Jan 2025

📅26/01/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.43
Draw
24%
4.34
Away
19%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.23
Over 2.5
53%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.7
No
52%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
6%
X/X
13%
2/1
10%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
65%
-8.6pp
24%
Draw
19%
+4.9pp
19%
Away Win
16%
+3.8pp
47%
Under 2.5
41%
+6.5pp
53%
Over 2.5
59%
-6.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
55%
-6.6pp
52%
BTTS No
45%
+6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hong Kong Rangers EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Hong Kong FC EU Bookmakers 19%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +18%
2.05/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.38
+9% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / +37%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
344 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hong Kong Rangers
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Hong Kong FC
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
15.09.2024 Hong Kong FC Hong Kong FC 1-3 HT 1-2 Hong Kong Rangers Hong Kong Rangers HK1
19.05.2024 Hong Kong Rangers Hong Kong Rangers 2-1 HT 2-0 Hong Kong FC Hong Kong FC HK1
05.11.2023 Hong Kong FC Hong Kong FC 0-3 HT 0-2 Hong Kong Rangers Hong Kong Rangers HK1
16.04.2023 Hong Kong FC Hong Kong FC 1-2 HT 1-1 Hong Kong Rangers Hong Kong Rangers HK1
16.10.2022 Hong Kong Rangers Hong Kong Rangers 0-1 HT 0-0 Hong Kong FC Hong Kong FC HK1
28.11.2021 Hong Kong Rangers Hong Kong Rangers 4-0 HT 2-0 Hong Kong FC Hong Kong FC HONFK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hong Kong Rangers
1-0
AWAY Hong Kong FC
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Hong Kong Rangers vs Hong Kong FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hong Kong Rangers edged past Hong Kong FC 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Hong Kong Rangers as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Hong Kong Rangers had 47% of the ball to Hong Kong FC's 53%, shots finished 10-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hong Kong Rangers had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Hong Kong Rangers and 0.67 for Hong Kong FC.

What was the final score of Hong Kong Rangers vs Hong Kong FC?

Hong Kong Rangers 1-0 Hong Kong FC in the Hong Kong - Premier League on 26/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hong Kong Rangers vs Hong Kong FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hong Kong Rangers win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Hong Kong Rangers 56%, draw 24%, Hong Kong FC 19%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hong Kong Rangers), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hong Kong Rangers) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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HK1 More Hong Kong - Premier League
26 Jan 2025
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