America de Cali 4-3 Llaneros — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 26 Jan 2025

📅26/01/2025 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.53
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
21%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.71
Over 2.5
41%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
35%
2.16
No
65%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
9%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
7%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
5%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
61%
-6.9pp
25%
Draw
23%
+2.0pp
21%
Away Win
16%
+4.9pp
59%
Under 2.5
55%
+4.3pp
41%
Over 2.5
45%
-4.3pp
35%
BTTS Yes
42%
-6.7pp
65%
BTTS No
58%
+6.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME America de Cali EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Llaneros EU Bookmakers 19%
-2% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-5% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
362 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 250 · 75%
24.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
16.9 Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME America de Cali
4-3
AWAY Llaneros
2.52 xG 1.20
59% Ball Possession 41%
21 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 3
12 Corners 4
354 Passes 219
84% Pass Accuracy 75%
19 Box Touches 10
22 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH America de Cali vs Llaneros
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

America de Cali squeezed past Llaneros 4-3. It was 1-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had America de Cali as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 4-3 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (65%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, America de Cali had 59% of the ball to Llaneros's 41%, shots finished 21-9, expected goals 2.52 to 1.20 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold America de Cali's control.

What was the final score of America de Cali vs Llaneros?

America de Cali 4-3 Llaneros in the Colombia - Primera on 26/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for America de Cali vs Llaneros?

Before kick-off our model rated a America de Cali win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split America de Cali 54%, draw 25%, Llaneros 21%. The final score 4-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (America de Cali) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (America de Cali) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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