Santa Fe 2-1 Deportivo Pereira — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 26 Jan 2025

📅26/01/2025 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.64
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
20%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.59
Over 2.5
40%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.19
No
61%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
23%
X/2
7%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
7%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
57%
-4.7pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.1pp
20%
Away Win
17%
+3.6pp
60%
Under 2.5
59%
+0.8pp
40%
Over 2.5
41%
-0.8pp
39%
BTTS Yes
42%
-2.8pp
61%
BTTS No
58%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Santa Fe EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo Pereira EU Bookmakers 20%
-2% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -3%
1.19/0.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.80/1.13
+4% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +9%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
335 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 257 · 75%
19.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.3
20.8 Crosses 12.4
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Santa Fe
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Deportivo Pereira
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.43 xG 1.19
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
259 Passes 228
76% Pass Accuracy 72%
17 Box Touches 16
22 Crosses 19
4 Yellow Cards 2
04.10.2024 Santa Fe Santa Fe 1-1 HT 1-1 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira KOL
18.02.2024 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira 1-0 HT 0-0 Santa Fe Santa Fe KOL
05.10.2023 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira 2-0 HT 1-0 Santa Fe Santa Fe KOLK
28.09.2023 Santa Fe Santa Fe 0-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira KOLK
25.09.2023 Santa Fe Santa Fe 1-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira KOL
16.04.2023 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira 2-2 HT 2-2 Santa Fe Santa Fe KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Santa Fe
2-1
AWAY Deportivo Pereira
1.00 xG 0.83
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 6
277 Passes 224
74% Pass Accuracy 71%
14 Box Touches 12
16 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Santa Fe vs Deportivo Pereira
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Santa Fe nicked a narrow win over Deportivo Pereira 2-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Santa Fe as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Santa Fe had 53% of the ball to Deportivo Pereira's 47%, shots finished 11-12, expected goals 1.00 to 0.83.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Deportivo Pereira led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Santa Fe and 1.00 for Deportivo Pereira.

What was the final score of Santa Fe vs Deportivo Pereira?

Santa Fe 2-1 Deportivo Pereira in the Colombia - Primera on 26/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Santa Fe vs Deportivo Pereira?

Before kick-off our model rated a Santa Fe win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Santa Fe 52%, draw 28%, Deportivo Pereira 20%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Santa Fe) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Santa Fe) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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