Birkirkara 1-1 Melita — Result, Statistics & Match Review — MALTP, 26 Jan 2025

📅26/01/2025 · 🕒18:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.43
Draw
21%
4.19
Away
24%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.0
Over 2.5
51%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.96
No
55%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
23%
X/2
4%
X/X
8%
2/1
12%
2/2
16%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
65%
-10.0pp
21%
Draw
20%
+0.1pp
24%
Away Win
14%
+10.0pp
49%
Under 2.5
46%
+2.4pp
51%
Over 2.5
54%
-2.4pp
45%
BTTS Yes
47%
-1.5pp
55%
BTTS No
53%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Birkirkara EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Melita EU Bookmakers 17%
+29% / +29% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+150% / -100% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
58% Ball Possession 42%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
404 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 210 · 68%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Birkirkara
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Melita
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
23.09.2024 Melita 0-3 HT 0-1 Birkirkara Birkirkara MLTP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Birkirkara
1-1
AWAY Melita
58% Ball Possession 42%
7 Total Shots 6
1 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Birkirkara vs Melita
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Birkirkara and Melita couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Birkirkara at 55% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Birkirkara had 58% of the ball to Melita's 42%, shots finished 7-6.

What was the final score of Birkirkara vs Melita?

Birkirkara 1-1 Melita in the MALTP on 26/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Birkirkara vs Melita?

Before kick-off our model rated a Birkirkara win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Birkirkara 55%, draw 21%, Melita 24%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Birkirkara) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
MALTP More MALTP
26 Jan 2025
16:00 Hibernians FC vs Marsaxlokk FC Analysis →