Hibernians FC 0-1 Marsaxlokk FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — MALTP, 26 Jan 2025

📅26/01/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.19
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
31%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.74
Over 2.5
45%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.81
No
59%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
4%
1/X
14%
X/1
22%
X/2
20%
X/X
8%
2/1
4%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
42%
-0.5pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.3pp
31%
Away Win
30%
+0.8pp
55%
Under 2.5
54%
+1.1pp
45%
Over 2.5
46%
-1.1pp
41%
BTTS Yes
51%
-10.1pp
59%
BTTS No
49%
+10.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hibernians FC EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Marsaxlokk FC EU Bookmakers 34%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
316 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hibernians FC
0W-3D-2L
AWAY Marsaxlokk FC
0.80 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
48% Ball Possession 52%
7 Total Shots 4
3 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
07.11.2024 Marsaxlokk FC Marsaxlokk FC 1-1 HT 1-0 Hibernians FC Hibernians FC MLTP
07.01.2024 Marsaxlokk FC Marsaxlokk FC 1-1 HT 1-0 Hibernians FC Hibernians FC MLTP
11.03.2023 Hibernians FC Hibernians FC 1-3 HT 0-2 Marsaxlokk FC Marsaxlokk FC MLTP
26.02.2023 Hibernians FC Hibernians FC 0-1 HT 0-0 Marsaxlokk FC Marsaxlokk FC MLTAK
30.10.2022 Marsaxlokk FC Marsaxlokk FC 1-1 HT 0-0 Hibernians FC Hibernians FC MLTP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hibernians FC
0-1
AWAY Marsaxlokk FC
56% Ball Possession 44%
5 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Hibernians FC vs Marsaxlokk FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Marsaxlokk FC squeezed past Hibernians FC 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Hibernians FC at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (59%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Hibernians FC had 56% of the ball to Marsaxlokk FC's 44%, shots finished 5-10.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Marsaxlokk FC led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for Hibernians FC and 1.40 for Marsaxlokk FC.

What was the final score of Hibernians FC vs Marsaxlokk FC?

Hibernians FC 0-1 Marsaxlokk FC in the MALTP on 26/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hibernians FC vs Marsaxlokk FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hibernians FC win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Hibernians FC 41%, draw 28%, Marsaxlokk FC 31%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Hibernians FC) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hibernians FC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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