Denizlispor 1-0 Bursa Nilüfer FK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 3rd Division 2.Grup, 26 Jan 2025

📅26/01/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
6.35
Draw
30%
4.19
Away
44%
1.41
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
Over 2.5
52%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
No
46%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
13%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
24%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
13%
+13.5pp
30%
Draw
21%
+9.1pp
44%
Away Win
67%
-22.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Denizlispor EU Bookmakers 16%
Head to Head
AWAY Bursa Nilüfer FK EU Bookmakers 71%
-15% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -33% / -33%
0.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/0.00
-100% / +101% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% /
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 4
233 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 439 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Denizlispor
1-0
AWAY Bursa Nilüfer FK
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 6
5 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Denizlispor vs Bursa Nilüfer FK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Denizlispor edged past Bursa Nilüfer FK 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Bursa Nilüfer FK at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Denizlispor had 49% of the ball to Bursa Nilüfer FK's 51%, shots finished 14-9.

What was the final score of Denizlispor vs Bursa Nilüfer FK?

Denizlispor 1-0 Bursa Nilüfer FK in the Turkey - 3rd Division 2.Grup on 26/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Denizlispor vs Bursa Nilüfer FK?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bursa Nilüfer FK win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Denizlispor 26%, draw 30%, Bursa Nilüfer FK 44%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Bursa Nilüfer FK) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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