Mardin 1969 Spor 4-1 Bergama Belediyespor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 3rd Division 2.Grup, 26 Jan 2025

📅26/01/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.66
Draw
26%
3.8
Away
26%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
Over 2.5
47%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
No
52%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
22%
X/2
10%
X/X
17%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
56%
-8.1pp
26%
Draw
23%
+3.6pp
26%
Away Win
21%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mardin 1969 Spor EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Bergama Belediyespor EU Bookmakers 25%
+15% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -28% / -28%
1.50/0.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.76/1.74
-10% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / -23%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
262 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mardin 1969 Spor
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Bergama Belediyespor
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
14.09.2024 Bergama Belediyespor Bergama Belediyespor 0-2 HT 0-1 Mardin 1969 Spor Mardin 1969 Spor S3-2
POST-MATCH Mardin 1969 Spor vs Bergama Belediyespor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mardin 1969 Spor ran out comfortable winners over Bergama Belediyespor 4-1. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Mardin 1969 Spor as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

What was the final score of Mardin 1969 Spor vs Bergama Belediyespor?

Mardin 1969 Spor 4-1 Bergama Belediyespor in the Turkey - 3rd Division 2.Grup on 26/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mardin 1969 Spor vs Bergama Belediyespor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mardin 1969 Spor win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Mardin 1969 Spor 48%, draw 26%, Bergama Belediyespor 26%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mardin 1969 Spor) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Mardin 1969 Spor) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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