Bursa Yıldırımspor 1-0 Alanya Kestelspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 3rd Division 2.Grup, 26 Jan 2025

📅26/01/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.67
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
40%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
Over 2.5
44%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
No
51%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
15%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
20%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
34%
-0.6pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.8pp
40%
Away Win
38%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bursa Yıldırımspor EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Alanya Kestelspor EU Bookmakers 42%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -31% / -31%
1.91/1.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.82/1.66
+65% / -45% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -32% / -28%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
301 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 350 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 0.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bursa Yıldırımspor
1W-2D-2L
AWAY Alanya Kestelspor
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.60
51% Ball Possession 49%
6 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 1
15.09.2024 Alanya Kestelspor Alanya Kestelspor 2-3 HT 0-1 Bursa Yıldırımspor Bursa Yıldırımspor S3-2
03.03.2024 Bursa Yıldırımspor Bursa Yıldırımspor 1-1 HT 1-0 Alanya Kestelspor Alanya Kestelspor S3-4
22.10.2023 Alanya Kestelspor Alanya Kestelspor 2-1 HT 0-1 Bursa Yıldırımspor Bursa Yıldırımspor S3-4
29.09.2021 Alanya Kestelspor Alanya Kestelspor 2-0 HT 1-0 Bursa Yıldırımspor Bursa Yıldırımspor TÜK
04.03.2021 Bursa Yıldırımspor Bursa Yıldırımspor 1-1 HT 0-0 Alanya Kestelspor Alanya Kestelspor S3-4
POST-MATCH Bursa Yıldırımspor vs Alanya Kestelspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bursa Yıldırımspor nicked a narrow win over Alanya Kestelspor 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 27% / 40% — and on the day Bursa Yıldırımspor made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Alanya Kestelspor led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Bursa Yıldırımspor and 1.60 for Alanya Kestelspor.

What was the final score of Bursa Yıldırımspor vs Alanya Kestelspor?

Bursa Yıldırımspor 1-0 Alanya Kestelspor in the Turkey - 3rd Division 2.Grup on 26/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bursa Yıldırımspor vs Alanya Kestelspor?

Before kick-off our model rated an Alanya Kestelspor win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Bursa Yıldırımspor 34%, draw 27%, Alanya Kestelspor 40%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Alanya Kestelspor) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Alanya Kestelspor) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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