Uthai Thani 3-0 Sukhothai — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Thailand - 1st Division, 26 Jan 2025

📅26/01/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.96
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
27%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under
51%
2.18
Over
49%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
52%
1.55
No
48%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1
25%
2-3
41%
4-5
25%
6+
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
10%
2/2
10%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 52%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
48%
Home Win
47%
+1.3pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.2pp
27%
Away Win
28%
-1.4pp
51%
Under 2.5
42%
+8.7pp
49%
Over 2.5
58%
-8.7pp
52%
BTTS Yes
60%
-8.2pp
48%
BTTS No
40%
+8.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Uthai Thani The Market 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Sukhothai The Market 32%
-20% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
1.09/0.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.67/1.52
-36% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -38% / -14%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
336 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 273 · 76%
24.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.4
24.5 Crosses 15.8
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Uthai Thani
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Sukhothai
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
2.09 xG 2.60
44% Ball Possession 56%
16 Total Shots 24
8 Shots on Target 9
6 Corners 6
246 Passes 321
80% Pass Accuracy 86%
27 Box Touches 26
12 Crosses 36
4 Yellow Cards 2
31.08.2024 Sukhothai Sukhothai 2-3 HT 0-2 Uthai Thani Uthai Thani TAY
27.04.2024 Sukhothai Sukhothai 1-3 HT 0-3 Uthai Thani Uthai Thani TAY
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Uthai Thani
3-0
AWAY Sukhothai
1.83 xG 1.38
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
301 Passes 314
83% Pass Accuracy 82%
25 Box Touches 24
24 Crosses 26
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Uthai Thani vs Sukhothai
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Uthai Thani cruised past Sukhothai 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Uthai Thani as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Uthai Thani had 48% of the ball to Sukhothai's 52%, shots finished 12-18, expected goals 1.83 to 1.38.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Uthai Thani had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Uthai Thani and 1.50 for Sukhothai.

What was the final score of Uthai Thani vs Sukhothai?

Uthai Thani 3-0 Sukhothai in the Thailand - 1st Division on 26/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Uthai Thani vs Sukhothai?

Before kick-off our model rated a Uthai Thani win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Uthai Thani 48%, draw 25%, Sukhothai 27%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Uthai Thani) — while Under 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Uthai Thani) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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