Prachuap 2-0 Chiangrai United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Thailand - 1st Division, 26 Jan 2025

📅26/01/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
61%
1.49
Draw
23%
3.94
Away
16%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under
42%
1.91
Over
58%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.95
No
50%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1
22%
2-3
41%
4-5
28%
6+
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
19%
X/2
7%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
5%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Prachuap win — 61%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
60%
Home Win
62%
-2.1pp
23%
Draw
22%
+1.2pp
16%
Away Win
16%
+0.7pp
42%
Under 2.5
48%
-6.2pp
58%
Over 2.5
52%
+6.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
47%
+2.5pp
50%
BTTS No
53%
-2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Prachuap The Market 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Chiangrai United The Market 19%
+14% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
1.56/0.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.74/1.47
-3% / +137% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -30% / +1%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
355 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 74%
28.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.0
18.2 Crosses 17.8
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Prachuap
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Chiangrai United
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.18 xG 1.29
55% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
299 Passes 235
78% Pass Accuracy 73%
23 Box Touches 13
21 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 4
31.08.2024 Chiangrai United Chiangrai United 1-1 HT 1-0 Prachuap Prachuap TAY
18.05.2024 Prachuap Prachuap 1-0 HT 1-0 Chiangrai United Chiangrai United TAY
24.12.2023 Chiangrai United Chiangrai United 1-1 HT 1-1 Prachuap Prachuap TAY
04.02.2023 Chiangrai United Chiangrai United 3-2 HT 1-2 Prachuap Prachuap TAY
03.09.2022 Prachuap Prachuap 2-1 HT 1-0 Chiangrai United Chiangrai United TAY
22.01.2022 Prachuap Prachuap 1-3 HT 0-1 Chiangrai United Chiangrai United TAY
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Prachuap
2-0
AWAY Chiangrai United
1.53 xG 0.70
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
296 Passes 277
84% Pass Accuracy 82%
21 Box Touches 7
16 Crosses 13
5 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Prachuap vs Chiangrai United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Prachuap saw off Chiangrai United 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Prachuap as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Prachuap had 52% of the ball to Chiangrai United's 48%, shots finished 14-7, expected goals 1.53 to 0.70.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Prachuap and 1.50 for Chiangrai United.

What was the final score of Prachuap vs Chiangrai United?

Prachuap 2-0 Chiangrai United in the Thailand - 1st Division on 26/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Prachuap vs Chiangrai United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Prachuap win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Prachuap 60%, draw 23%, Chiangrai United 16%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Prachuap) — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Prachuap) ✗ Over 2.5
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