Nakhon Pathom vs Buriram United Prediction — Model Probabilities
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Nakhon Pathom v Buriram United — Team-Based Signals
Nakhon Pathom vs Buriram United Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
Nakhon Pathom 1-3 Buriram United — Actual Match Statistics
Buriram United saw off Nakhon Pathom 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Buriram United as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (56%) landed while no to both teams scoring (59%) missed.
On the day, Nakhon Pathom had 42% of the ball to Buriram United's 58%, shots finished 3-17, expected goals 0.22 to 1.98.
Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Buriram United led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Nakhon Pathom and 2.50 for Buriram United.
What was the final score of Nakhon Pathom vs Buriram United?
Nakhon Pathom 1-3 Buriram United in the Thailand - 1st Division on 26/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Nakhon Pathom vs Buriram United?
Before kick-off our model rated an Buriram United win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Nakhon Pathom 16%, draw 20%, Buriram United 64%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Buriram United), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.