AZ Alkmaar II vs Almere City Prediction — Model Probabilities
AZ Alkmaar II v Almere City — Team-Based Signals
AZ Alkmaar II vs Almere City Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
AZ Alkmaar II 3-4 Almere City — Actual Match Statistics
Almere City edged past AZ Alkmaar II 4-3 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. A 7-goal game — the defences never settled.
As we said in the preview, our model had Almere City as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 4-3 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (70%), both teams to score (66%), and both reads landed as well.
By the numbers, possession split 54% to 46% in AZ Alkmaar II's favour, shots finished 19-21, expected goals 2.75 to 3.05.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, AZ Alkmaar II had the better of it with 4 wins. Scoring in those meetings ran 2.33 a game for AZ Alkmaar II against 1.83 for Almere City.
AZ Alkmaar II vs Almere City Result & Final Score
AZ Alkmaar II 3 - 4 Almere City in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 26/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
AZ Alkmaar II vs Almere City Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated an Almere City win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split AZ Alkmaar II 27%, draw 23%, Almere City 50%. The final score 3-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Almere City), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.