De Graafschap 1-1 Den Bosch — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 26 Jan 2026

📅26/01/2026 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.96
Draw
23%
3.74
Away
29%
3.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under
27%
2.67
Over Pick
73%
1.42
Both Teams to Score
Yes
68%
1.36
No
32%
2.86
Total Goals
0-1
12%
6.51
2-3
37%
2.14
4-5
34%
2.41
6+
17%
4.72
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
2.67
1/2
2%
26.0
1/X
5%
12.35
X/1
15%
5.49
X/2
10%
7.72
X/X
13%
6.66
2/1
4%
19.6
2/2
16%
4.5
2/X
6%
12.85
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the view of our model: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a bet. This match carries Gold/Silver/Bronze value markets — free account to see them.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME De Graafschap The Market 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Den Bosch The Market 33%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
1.99 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.55
1.41 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.89
Average Attack Strength Strong
Average Defense Strength Average
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
332 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 74%
29 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21
22 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME De Graafschap
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Den Bosch
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.99 xG 0.85
58% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 5
393 Passes 266
80% Pass Accuracy 74%
30 Box Touches 17
25 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 1
31.10.2025 Den Bosch Den Bosch 1-2 HT 1-1 De Graafschap De Graafschap HOL2
07.02.2025 De Graafschap De Graafschap 1-0 HT 0-0 Den Bosch Den Bosch HOL2
04.10.2024 Den Bosch Den Bosch 2-2 HT 0-1 De Graafschap De Graafschap HOL2
23.02.2024 De Graafschap De Graafschap 2-0 HT 1-0 Den Bosch Den Bosch HOL2
15.12.2023 Den Bosch Den Bosch 0-4 HT 0-2 De Graafschap De Graafschap HOL2
19.05.2023 De Graafschap De Graafschap 3-0 HT 2-0 Den Bosch Den Bosch HOL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME De Graafschap
1 - 1
AWAY Den Bosch
2.24 xG 1.14
64% Ball Possession 36%
18 Total Shots 17
7 Shots on Target 8
8 Corners 5
377 Passes 178
80% Pass Accuracy 67%
38 Box Touches 26
29 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW De Graafschap vs Den Bosch
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

De Graafschap and Den Bosch finished all square at 1-1. The 1-0 half-time score told a different story — this one turned on its head late.

Our pre-match lean was De Graafschap at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (68%) landed while over 2.5 goals (73%) missed.

Under the surface, possession split 64% to 36% in De Graafschap's favour, shots finished 18-17, expected goals 2.24 to 1.14.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, De Graafschap had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 2.33 a game for De Graafschap against 0.50 for Den Bosch.

De Graafschap vs Den Bosch Result & Final Score

De Graafschap 1 - 1 Den Bosch in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 26/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

De Graafschap vs Den Bosch Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a De Graafschap win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split De Graafschap 48%, draw 23%, Den Bosch 29%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (De Graafschap), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (De Graafschap) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
HOL2 More Netherlands - Eerste Divisie
26 Jan 2026
22:00 AZ Alkmaar II vs Almere City Analysis →
22:00 ADO Den Haag vs Vitesse Analysis →
22:00 PSV II vs Helmond Sport Analysis →
22:00 RKC Waalwijk vs Utrecht II Analysis →
22:00 Roda vs VVV-Venlo Analysis →