UTA Arad 1-2 Rapid Bucarest — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Romania - 1st Division, 26 Jan 2026

📅26/01/2026 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.57
Draw
31%
3.04
Away
37%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.71
Over 2.5
42%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.81
No
55%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
2.77
2-3 Goals
40%
1.74
4-5 Goals
17%
3.9
6+ Goals
9%
18.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.77 — our 34% vs market 29.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
11%
2/2
21%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
36%
-3.6pp
31%
Draw
30%
+1.3pp
37%
Away Win
35%
+2.4pp
58%
Under 2.5
55%
+3.8pp
42%
Over 2.5
45%
-3.8pp
45%
BTTS Yes
51%
-6.1pp
55%
BTTS No
49%
+6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME UTA Arad EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Rapid Bucarest EU Bookmakers 38%
+4% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -18%
1.45/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.07
+15% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -34% / +21%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
333 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 257 · 72%
22.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.6
19.0 Crosses 14.4
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME UTA Arad
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Rapid Bucarest
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.54 xG 2.25
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
299 Passes 309
78% Pass Accuracy 76%
15 Box Touches 22
15 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
29.08.2025 Rapid Bucarest Rapid Bucarest 2-0 HT 2-0 UTA Arad UTA Arad ROM
09.11.2024 Rapid Bucarest Rapid Bucarest 2-0 HT 0-0 UTA Arad UTA Arad ROM
13.07.2024 UTA Arad UTA Arad 1-1 HT 0-1 Rapid Bucarest Rapid Bucarest ROM
28.02.2024 Rapid Bucarest Rapid Bucarest 4-1 HT 2-1 UTA Arad UTA Arad ROM
20.10.2023 UTA Arad UTA Arad 2-2 HT 1-2 Rapid Bucarest Rapid Bucarest ROM
18.12.2022 UTA Arad UTA Arad 1-1 HT 1-0 Rapid Bucarest Rapid Bucarest ROM
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME UTA Arad
1-2
AWAY Rapid Bucarest
1.01 xG 3.60
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 20
5 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 5
243 Passes 317
71% Pass Accuracy 80%
16 Box Touches 39
18 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH UTA Arad vs Rapid Bucarest
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rapid Bucarest squeezed past UTA Arad 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (32% / 31% / 37%) promised a tight game; Rapid Bucarest found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, UTA Arad had 47% of the ball to Rapid Bucarest's 53%, shots finished 14-20, expected goals 1.01 to 3.60 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Rapid Bucarest's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rapid Bucarest led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for UTA Arad and 2.00 for Rapid Bucarest.

What was the final score of UTA Arad vs Rapid Bucarest?

UTA Arad 1-2 Rapid Bucarest in the Romania - 1st Division on 26/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for UTA Arad vs Rapid Bucarest?

Before kick-off our model rated an Rapid Bucarest win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split UTA Arad 32%, draw 31%, Rapid Bucarest 37%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rapid Bucarest) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Rapid Bucarest) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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