Inter Miami 3-1 Sporting Kansas City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — CONCACAF Champions League, 26 Feb 2025

📅26/02/2025 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.34
Draw
24%
4.81
Away
22%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.74
Over 2.5
58%
1.41
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.66
No
46%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
5.88
2-3 Goals
40%
2.04
4-5 Goals
27%
2.43
6+ Goals
14%
5.09
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
7%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
70%
-16.2pp
24%
Draw
18%
+6.7pp
22%
Away Win
13%
+9.5pp
42%
Under 2.5
33%
+9.5pp
58%
Over 2.5
67%
-9.5pp
54%
BTTS Yes
56%
-2.2pp
46%
BTTS No
44%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Inter Miami EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Sporting Kansas City EU Bookmakers 16%
+19% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +18%
1.73/1.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/2.35
+8% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +29% / -1%
57% Ball Possession 43%
17 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
449 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 79%
17.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.5
6.0 Crosses 7.0
0.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Inter Miami
3W-0D-0L
AWAY Sporting Kansas City
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.16 xG 0.82
55% Ball Possession 45%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 6
517 Passes 389
85% Pass Accuracy 82%
21 Box Touches 18
6 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
20.02.2025 Sporting Kansas City Sporting Kansas City 0-1 HT 0-0 Inter Miami Inter Miami CON
14.04.2024 Sporting Kansas City Sporting Kansas City 2-3 HT 1-1 Inter Miami Inter Miami ABD
10.09.2023 Inter Miami Inter Miami 3-2 HT 2-1 Sporting Kansas City Sporting Kansas City ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Inter Miami
3-1
AWAY Sporting Kansas City
1.61 xG 0.88
50% Ball Possession 50%
6 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 7
445 Passes 427
86% Pass Accuracy 86%
22 Box Touches 25
3 Crosses 20
POST-MATCH Inter Miami vs Sporting Kansas City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Inter Miami beat Sporting Kansas City 3-1. Half-time: 3-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Inter Miami as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

On the day, Inter Miami had 50% of the ball to Sporting Kansas City's 50%, shots finished 6-11, expected goals 1.61 to 0.88.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Inter Miami had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Inter Miami and 1.33 for Sporting Kansas City.

What was the final score of Inter Miami vs Sporting Kansas City?

Inter Miami 3-1 Sporting Kansas City in the CONCACAF Champions League on 26/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Inter Miami vs Sporting Kansas City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Inter Miami win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Inter Miami 54%, draw 24%, Sporting Kansas City 22%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Inter Miami), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Inter Miami) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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