PSV Eindhoven 1-2 Go Ahead Eagles — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - KNVB Cup, 26 Feb 2025

PSV Eindhoven
1-2 HT 0-2
Go Ahead Eagles
📅26/02/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Netherlands - KNVB Cup – 2024/2025

PSV Eindhoven vs Go Ahead Eagles Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
66%
1.25
Draw
18%
5.71
Away
16%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
35%
3.17
Over 2.5
65%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.7
No
45%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
7.6
2-3 Goals
36%
2.26
4-5 Goals
33%
2.29
6+ Goals
14%
3.89
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1.37
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
5%
22.1
X/1
14%
4.05
X/2
5%
22.55
X/X
7%
10.95
2/1 EV+ ✗
14%
18.15
2/2
7%
17.4
2/X
5%
26.0
Value flag · 2/1 at 18.15 — our 14% vs market 2.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
66%
Home Win
76%
-10.0pp
18%
Draw
15%
+3.5pp
16%
Away Win
10%
+6.4pp
35%
Under 2.5
28%
+6.5pp
65%
Over 2.5
72%
-6.5pp
55%
BTTS Yes
55%
+0.1pp
45%
BTTS No
45%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

PSV Eindhoven v Go Ahead Eagles — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME PSV Eindhoven EU Bookmakers 80%
Head to Head
AWAY Go Ahead Eagles EU Bookmakers 12%
+0% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
3.02/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.30/2.85
+34% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -75% / +4%
56% Ball Possession 44%
20 Total Shots 9
9 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
435 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 76%
39.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 5.0
25.3 Crosses 9.0
1.0 Yellow Cards 0.0

PSV Eindhoven vs Go Ahead Eagles Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME PSV Eindhoven
6W-0D-0L
AWAY Go Ahead Eagles
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
2.48 xG 0.73
65% Ball Possession 35%
22 Total Shots 8
9 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
548 Passes 254
87% Pass Accuracy 74%
45 Box Touches 17
28 Crosses 14
0 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
01.09.2024 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven 3-0 HT 2-0 Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles HOL
08.03.2024 Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles 0-1 HT 0-1 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven HOL
27.09.2023 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven 3-0 HT 1-0 Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles HOL
28.01.2023 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven 2-0 HT 1-0 Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles HOL
13.08.2022 Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles 2-5 HT 1-3 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven HOL
02.03.2022 Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles 1-2 HT 1-1 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven HOK

PSV Eindhoven 1-2 Go Ahead Eagles — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME PSV Eindhoven
1-2
AWAY Go Ahead Eagles
2.62 xG 0.95
69% Ball Possession 31%
24 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
551 Passes 193
85% Pass Accuracy 65%
45 Box Touches 17
37 Crosses 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH PSV Eindhoven vs Go Ahead Eagles
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Go Ahead Eagles nicked a narrow win over PSV Eindhoven 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

This one beat our numbers. PSV Eindhoven carried 66% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (65%), both teams to score (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, PSV Eindhoven had 69% of the ball to Go Ahead Eagles's 31%, shots finished 24-9, expected goals 2.62 to 0.95 — on chances, PSV Eindhoven could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, PSV Eindhoven had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for PSV Eindhoven and 0.50 for Go Ahead Eagles.

What was the final score of PSV Eindhoven vs Go Ahead Eagles?

PSV Eindhoven 1-2 Go Ahead Eagles in the Netherlands - KNVB Cup on 26/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for PSV Eindhoven vs Go Ahead Eagles?

Before kick-off our model rated a PSV Eindhoven win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split PSV Eindhoven 66%, draw 18%, Go Ahead Eagles 16%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (PSV Eindhoven) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (PSV Eindhoven) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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