PSV Eindhoven 3-0 Go Ahead Eagles — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eredivisie, 1 Sep 2024

📅01/09/2024 · 🕒17:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
63%
1.16
Draw
20%
7.13
Away
17%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
29%
4.0
Over 2.5
71%
1.22
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.82
No
41%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
14%
10.6
2-3 Goals
33%
2.62
4-5 Goals
33%
2.31
6+ Goals
20%
3.29
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1.2
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X EV+ ✗
8%
34.5
X/1
19%
3.75
X/2
7%
34.5
X/X
5%
15.05
2/1
9%
20.3
2/2
6%
26.5
2/X
7%
32.0
Value flag · 1/X at 34.5 — our 8% vs market 0.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
82%
-18.8pp
20%
Draw
11%
+8.6pp
17%
Away Win
7%
+10.4pp
29%
Under 2.5
22%
+7.3pp
71%
Over 2.5
78%
-7.3pp
59%
BTTS Yes
51%
+8.3pp
41%
BTTS No
49%
-8.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME PSV Eindhoven EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY Go Ahead Eagles EU Bookmakers 9%
+3% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +3%
2.87/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.65/2.40
+20% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -42% / +8%
62% Ball Possession 38%
19 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
489 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 251 · 73%
43.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.6
23.6 Crosses 11.3
0.9 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME PSV Eindhoven
6W-0D-0L
AWAY Go Ahead Eagles
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
2.51 xG 0.56
63% Ball Possession 37%
22 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 3
512 Passes 266
85% Pass Accuracy 74%
42 Box Touches 14
26 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 1
08.03.2024 Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles 0-1 HT 0-1 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven HOL
27.09.2023 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven 3-0 HT 1-0 Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles HOL
28.01.2023 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven 2-0 HT 1-0 Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles HOL
13.08.2022 Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles 2-5 HT 1-3 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven HOL
02.03.2022 Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles 1-2 HT 1-1 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven HOK
23.12.2021 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven 2-0 HT 1-0 Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles HOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME PSV Eindhoven
3-0
AWAY Go Ahead Eagles
2.12 xG 1.17
71% Ball Possession 29%
19 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
702 Passes 238
92% Pass Accuracy 76%
51 Box Touches 27
27 Crosses 10
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH PSV Eindhoven vs Go Ahead Eagles
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

PSV Eindhoven swept aside Go Ahead Eagles 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had PSV Eindhoven as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (71%) landed while both teams to score (59%) missed.

On the day, PSV Eindhoven had 71% of the ball to Go Ahead Eagles's 29%, shots finished 19-8, expected goals 2.12 to 1.17.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, PSV Eindhoven had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for PSV Eindhoven and 0.50 for Go Ahead Eagles.

What was the final score of PSV Eindhoven vs Go Ahead Eagles?

PSV Eindhoven 3-0 Go Ahead Eagles in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 01/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for PSV Eindhoven vs Go Ahead Eagles?

Before kick-off our model rated a PSV Eindhoven win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split PSV Eindhoven 63%, draw 20%, Go Ahead Eagles 17%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (PSV Eindhoven), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (PSV Eindhoven) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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