Celje 3-2 Tabor Sezana — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - Cup, 26 Feb 2025

📅26/02/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.16
Draw
27%
7.78
Away
15%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.23
Over 2.5
60%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.95
No
47%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
10%
X/2
5%
X/X
9%
2/1
15%
2/2
5%
2/X
13%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
82%
-24.1pp
27%
Draw
10%
+16.1pp
15%
Away Win
7%
+8.0pp
40%
Under 2.5
41%
-1.0pp
60%
Over 2.5
59%
+1.0pp
53%
BTTS Yes
47%
+5.7pp
47%
BTTS No
53%
-5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Celje EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY Tabor Sezana EU Bookmakers 9%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-24% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 3
280 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 202 · 59%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Celje
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Tabor Sezana
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
58% Ball Possession 42%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
15.04.2023 Celje Celje 0-0 HT 0-0 Tabor Sezana Tabor Sezana SLVN
18.02.2023 Tabor Sezana Tabor Sezana 2-2 HT 1-1 Celje Celje SLVN
14.10.2022 Celje Celje 1-0 HT 1-0 Tabor Sezana Tabor Sezana SLVN
05.08.2022 Tabor Sezana Tabor Sezana 1-0 HT 0-0 Celje Celje SLVN
02.04.2022 Celje Celje 1-0 HT 0-0 Tabor Sezana Tabor Sezana SLVN
11.12.2021 Tabor Sezana Tabor Sezana 2-1 HT 1-1 Celje Celje SLVN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Celje
3-2
AWAY Tabor Sezana
70% Ball Possession 30%
28 Total Shots 4
10 Shots on Target 2
17 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Celje vs Tabor Sezana
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Celje nicked a narrow win over Tabor Sezana 3-2. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Celje as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (60%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Celje had 70% of the ball to Tabor Sezana's 30%, shots finished 28-4.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Celje and 0.83 for Tabor Sezana.

What was the final score of Celje vs Tabor Sezana?

Celje 3-2 Tabor Sezana in the Slovenia - Cup on 26/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Celje vs Tabor Sezana?

Before kick-off our model rated a Celje win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Celje 58%, draw 27%, Tabor Sezana 15%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Celje), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Celje) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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