Olimpija Ljubljana 3-0 Ilirija — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - Cup, 26 Feb 2025

📅26/02/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
64%
1.11
Draw
20%
8.78
Away
16%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
Over 2.5
55%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.4
No
54%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
47%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
5%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
5%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
64%
Home Win
85%
-21.5pp
20%
Draw
8%
+11.3pp
17%
Away Win
6%
+10.2pp
46%
BTTS Yes
38%
+8.2pp
54%
BTTS No
62%
-8.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Olimpija Ljubljana EU Bookmakers 90%
Head to Head
AWAY Ilirija EU Bookmakers 9%
-17% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +78% / +78%
2.74/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 5.00/0.00
-18% / +41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% /
64% Ball Possession 36%
15 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
435 · 88% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 210 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Olimpija Ljubljana
3-0
AWAY Ilirija
73% Ball Possession 27%
13 Total Shots 3
8 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Olimpija Ljubljana vs Ilirija
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Olimpija Ljubljana cruised past Ilirija 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Olimpija Ljubljana as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Olimpija Ljubljana had 73% of the ball to Ilirija's 27%, shots finished 13-3.

What was the final score of Olimpija Ljubljana vs Ilirija?

Olimpija Ljubljana 3-0 Ilirija in the Slovenia - Cup on 26/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Olimpija Ljubljana vs Ilirija?

Before kick-off our model rated a Olimpija Ljubljana win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Olimpija Ljubljana 64%, draw 20%, Ilirija 17%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Olimpija Ljubljana), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Olimpija Ljubljana) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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