Mura 0-1 Koper — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - Cup, 26 Feb 2025

Mura
0-1 HT 0-0
Koper
📅26/02/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.8
Draw
24%
3.11
Away
40%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
1.71
Over 2.5
56%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.81
No
46%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
13%
X/X
7%
2/1
6%
2/2
19%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
32%
+3.7pp
24%
Draw
29%
-4.5pp
40%
Away Win
39%
+0.8pp
44%
Under 2.5
55%
-10.6pp
56%
Over 2.5
45%
+10.6pp
54%
BTTS Yes
51%
+2.6pp
46%
BTTS No
49%
-2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mura EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Koper EU Bookmakers 43%
+16% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -16%
2.17/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.74/1.00
+52% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -68% / +20%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
336 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 352 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 1.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mura
0W-4D-2L
AWAY Koper
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
08.12.2024 Mura Mura 1-3 HT 1-2 Koper Koper SLVN
22.09.2024 Koper Koper 0-0 HT 0-0 Mura Mura SLVN
14.04.2024 Mura Mura 1-1 HT 1-0 Koper Koper SLVN
03.04.2024 Koper Koper 1-1 HT 0-0 Mura Mura SLVNK
23.03.2024 Koper Koper 2-1 HT 1-0 Mura Mura SLVN
22.10.2023 Mura Mura 2-2 HT 1-0 Koper Koper SLVN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mura
0-1
AWAY Koper
45% Ball Possession 55%
14 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Mura vs Koper
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Koper nicked a narrow win over Mura 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (36% / 24% / 40%) promised a tight game; Koper found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Mura had 45% of the ball to Koper's 55%, shots finished 14-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Koper led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Mura and 1.50 for Koper.

What was the final score of Mura vs Koper?

Mura 0-1 Koper in the Slovenia - Cup on 26/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mura vs Koper?

Before kick-off our model rated an Koper win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Mura 36%, draw 24%, Koper 40%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Koper) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Koper) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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