Mura 1-3 Koper — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 1st Division, 8 Dec 2024

Mura
1-3 HT 1-2
Koper
📅08/12/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.84
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
38%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.78
Over 2.5
44%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.76
No
55%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
2.95
2-3 Goals
41%
1.75
4-5 Goals
20%
3.8
6+ Goals
8%
16.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.95 — our 31% vs market 27.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
14%
X/2
12%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
20%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
32%
+4.4pp
26%
Draw
28%
-2.1pp
38%
Away Win
41%
-2.4pp
56%
Under 2.5
52%
+3.8pp
44%
Over 2.5
48%
-3.8pp
45%
BTTS Yes
53%
-7.5pp
55%
BTTS No
47%
+7.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mura EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Koper EU Bookmakers 45%
+9% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +5%
1.49/1.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.47/0.92
+35% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / +19%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
302 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 331 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mura
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Koper
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
22.09.2024 Koper Koper 0-0 HT 0-0 Mura Mura SLVN
14.04.2024 Mura Mura 1-1 HT 1-0 Koper Koper SLVN
03.04.2024 Koper Koper 1-1 HT 0-0 Mura Mura SLVNK
23.03.2024 Koper Koper 2-1 HT 1-0 Mura Mura SLVN
22.10.2023 Mura Mura 2-2 HT 1-0 Koper Koper SLVN
14.08.2023 Koper Koper 1-3 HT 0-1 Mura Mura SLVN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mura
1-3
AWAY Koper
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 7
8 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Mura vs Koper
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Koper saw off Mura 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 26% / 38% — and on the day Koper made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Mura had 50% of the ball to Koper's 50%, shots finished 14-14.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Mura and 1.17 for Koper.

What was the final score of Mura vs Koper?

Mura 1-3 Koper in the Slovenia - 1st Division on 08/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mura vs Koper?

Before kick-off our model rated an Koper win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Mura 36%, draw 26%, Koper 38%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Koper) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Koper) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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