Fatih Karagümrük 1-2 İskenderunspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Cup, 26 Feb 2025

📅26/02/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.82
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
22%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.9
Over 2.5
45%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.76
No
56%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.34
2-3 Goals
39%
1.81
4-5 Goals
23%
3.6
6+ Goals
7%
14.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.34 — our 31% vs market 24.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.47
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
6%
13.8
X/1
20%
4.38
X/2
9%
8.09
X/X
13%
4.91
2/1
6%
23.85
2/2
7%
6.31
2/X
9%
14.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
51%
+0.4pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.1pp
22%
Away Win
24%
-2.5pp
55%
Under 2.5
49%
+6.7pp
45%
Over 2.5
51%
-6.7pp
44%
BTTS Yes
53%
-9.1pp
56%
BTTS No
47%
+9.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fatih Karagümrük EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY İskenderunspor EU Bookmakers 28%
+20% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
2.52/0.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/0.00
+43% / +111% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% /
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
314 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fatih Karagümrük
1-2
AWAY İskenderunspor
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Fatih Karagümrük vs İskenderunspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

İskenderunspor squeezed past Fatih Karagümrük 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Fatih Karagümrük at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Fatih Karagümrük had 57% of the ball to İskenderunspor's 43%, shots finished 12-7.

What was the final score of Fatih Karagümrük vs İskenderunspor?

Fatih Karagümrük 1-2 İskenderunspor in the Turkey - Cup on 26/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fatih Karagümrük vs İskenderunspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fatih Karagümrük win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Fatih Karagümrük 51%, draw 27%, İskenderunspor 22%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Fatih Karagümrük) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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