Trabzonspor 5-2 Çaykur Rizespor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Cup, 26 Feb 2025

📅26/02/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.9
Draw
29%
3.54
Away
26%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.1
Over 2.5
52%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.61
No
48%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.94
2-3 Goals
39%
1.82
4-5 Goals
23%
2.98
6+ Goals
12%
9.33
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.94 — our 26% vs market 19.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
2.59
1/2
8%
33.0
1/X
7%
13.05
X/1
16%
4.75
X/2
7%
7.61
X/X
16%
5.4
2/1
13%
22.1
2/2
10%
5.34
2/X
7%
13.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★★ Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
49%
-3.8pp
29%
Draw
25%
+4.3pp
26%
Away Win
26%
-0.5pp
48%
Under 2.5
44%
+4.3pp
52%
Over 2.5
56%
-4.3pp
52%
BTTS Yes
58%
-6.1pp
48%
BTTS No
42%
+6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Trabzonspor EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Çaykur Rizespor EU Bookmakers 30%
+20% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
1.59/0.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/2.26
-10% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / -26%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
383 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 327 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Trabzonspor
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Çaykur Rizespor
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.34 xG 1.71
60% Ball Possession 40%
14 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 3
396 Passes 249
82% Pass Accuracy 75%
22 Box Touches 20
21 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 3
09.11.2024 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor 3-1 HT 1-1 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor TSL
25.01.2024 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor 1-0 HT 0-0 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor TSL
26.08.2023 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor 2-3 HT 0-2 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor TSL
18.03.2022 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor 3-2 HT 0-0 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor TSL
29.10.2021 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor 2-1 HT 1-1 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor TSL
10.04.2021 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor 0-0 HT 0-0 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor TSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Trabzonspor
5-2
AWAY Çaykur Rizespor
58% Ball Possession 42%
11 Total Shots 4
8 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Trabzonspor vs Çaykur Rizespor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Trabzonspor cruised past Çaykur Rizespor 5-2. Half-time: 3-0. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Trabzonspor as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 5-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Trabzonspor had 58% of the ball to Çaykur Rizespor's 42%, shots finished 11-4.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Çaykur Rizespor led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Trabzonspor and 1.83 for Çaykur Rizespor.

What was the final score of Trabzonspor vs Çaykur Rizespor?

Trabzonspor 5-2 Çaykur Rizespor in the Turkey - Cup on 26/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Trabzonspor vs Çaykur Rizespor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Trabzonspor win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Trabzonspor 45%, draw 29%, Çaykur Rizespor 26%. The final score 5-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Trabzonspor), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Trabzonspor) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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