MKE Ankaragücü 1-1 Alanyaspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Cup, 26 Feb 2025

MKE Ankaragücü
1-1 HT 0-0
Alanyaspor
📅26/02/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Turkey - Cup – 2024/2025

MKE Ankaragücü vs Alanyaspor Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
4.71
Draw
22%
3.8
Away
44%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.91
Over 2.5
52%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.9
No
49%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.41
2-3 Goals
36%
1.82
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
27%
3.54
6+ Goals
11%
13.65
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.54 — our 27% vs market 23.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
9.28
1/2
9%
23.0
1/X
6%
18.0
X/1
14%
11.0
X/2
15%
3.93
X/X
12%
5.46
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
34.5
2/2
20%
1.96
2/X
5%
15.95
Value flag · 2/1 at 34.5 — our 10% vs market 1.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
18%
+15.6pp
22%
Draw
23%
-1.0pp
44%
Away Win
58%
-14.6pp
48%
Under 2.5
48%
-0.5pp
52%
Over 2.5
52%
+0.5pp
51%
BTTS Yes
49%
+2.6pp
49%
BTTS No
51%
-2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

MKE Ankaragücü v Alanyaspor — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME MKE Ankaragücü EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY Alanyaspor EU Bookmakers 62%
+19% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -19% / -19%
1.51/1.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.21/1.76
+14% / +41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +61% / -49%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
265 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

MKE Ankaragücü vs Alanyaspor Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME MKE Ankaragücü
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Alanyaspor
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.21 xG 1.41
38% Ball Possession 62%
12 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
262 Passes 455
76% Pass Accuracy 85%
16 Box Touches 28
11 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
03.05.2024 MKE Ankaragücü MKE Ankaragücü 1-1 HT 1-0 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor TSL
09.01.2024 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor 1-1 HT 0-0 MKE Ankaragücü MKE Ankaragücü TSL
12.03.2023 MKE Ankaragücü MKE Ankaragücü 2-0 HT 1-0 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor TSL
09.09.2022 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor 2-1 HT 0-0 MKE Ankaragücü MKE Ankaragücü TSL
15.05.2021 MKE Ankaragücü MKE Ankaragücü 0-1 HT 0-1 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor TSL
25.01.2021 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor 4-3 HT 1-2 MKE Ankaragücü MKE Ankaragücü TSL

MKE Ankaragücü 1-1 Alanyaspor — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME MKE Ankaragücü
1-1
AWAY Alanyaspor
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH MKE Ankaragücü vs Alanyaspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

MKE Ankaragücü and Alanyaspor couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Alanyaspor at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, MKE Ankaragücü had 50% of the ball to Alanyaspor's 50%, shots finished 9-15.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Alanyaspor led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for MKE Ankaragücü and 1.50 for Alanyaspor.

What was the final score of MKE Ankaragücü vs Alanyaspor?

MKE Ankaragücü 1-1 Alanyaspor in the Turkey - Cup on 26/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for MKE Ankaragücü vs Alanyaspor?

Before kick-off our model rated an Alanyaspor win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split MKE Ankaragücü 34%, draw 22%, Alanyaspor 44%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Alanyaspor), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Alanyaspor) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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