CA Sarmiento 1-3 Union Santa Fe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 26 Feb 2026

📅26/02/2026 · 🕒23:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.99
Draw
35%
2.83
Away
36%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
68%
1.45
Over
32%
2.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.19
No
56%
1.59
Total Goals
0-1
39%
2.03
2-3
46%
1.78
4-5
13%
5.86
6+
2%
34.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
5.08
1/2
2%
34.0
1/X
6%
14.55
X/1
13%
6.13
X/2
15%
4.89
X/X
24%
3.33
2/1
1%
34.0
2/2
20%
3.58
2/X
5%
14.0
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME CA Sarmiento The Market 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Union Santa Fe The Market 42%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
1.09 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.16
1.12 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.01
Strong Attack Strength Average
Average Defense Strength Average
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
245 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 75%
19 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16
20 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CA Sarmiento
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Union Santa Fe
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.98 xG 0.89
38% Ball Possession 62%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
160 Passes 317
62% Pass Accuracy 77%
15 Box Touches 21
14 Crosses 28
2 Yellow Cards 2
30.09.2024 CA Sarmiento CA Sarmiento 1-0 HT 0-0 Union Santa Fe Union Santa Fe ARJ
02.03.2024 CA Sarmiento CA Sarmiento 1-2 HT 1-0 Union Santa Fe Union Santa Fe ARJ
08.10.2023 Union Santa Fe Union Santa Fe 1-0 HT 0-0 CA Sarmiento CA Sarmiento ARJ
15.05.2023 Union Santa Fe Union Santa Fe 0-2 HT 0-1 CA Sarmiento CA Sarmiento ARJ
09.09.2022 Union Santa Fe Union Santa Fe 1-0 HT 0-0 CA Sarmiento CA Sarmiento ARJ
27.02.2022 CA Sarmiento CA Sarmiento 2-1 HT 2-1 Union Santa Fe Union Santa Fe ARJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CA Sarmiento
1 - 3
AWAY Union Santa Fe
1.88 xG 1.28
62% Ball Possession 38%
14 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 8
7 Corners 2
365 Passes 162
81% Pass Accuracy 59%
27 Box Touches 23
21 Crosses 8
4 Yellow Cards 4
REVIEW CA Sarmiento vs Union Santa Fe
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Union Santa Fe beat CA Sarmiento 3-1 on the road. Half-time: 0-2.

We called this one close before kick-off — 29% / 35% / 36% — and on the day Union Santa Fe made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (68%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, possession split 62% to 38% in CA Sarmiento's favour, shots finished 14-16, expected goals 1.88 to 1.28 — the balance of chances actually favoured CA Sarmiento.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.00 a game for CA Sarmiento against 0.83 for Union Santa Fe.

CA Sarmiento vs Union Santa Fe Result & Final Score

CA Sarmiento 1 - 3 Union Santa Fe in the Argentina - Premier League on 26/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

CA Sarmiento vs Union Santa Fe Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Union Santa Fe win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split CA Sarmiento 29%, draw 35%, Union Santa Fe 36%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Union Santa Fe) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Union Santa Fe) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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