Marquense 0-0 Aurora — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Guatemala - National League, 26 Feb 2026

📅26/02/2026 · 🕒06:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.89
Draw
23%
3.28
Away
22%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.68
Over 2.5
41%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.9
No
55%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
23%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
5%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
49%
+5.5pp
23%
Draw
27%
-4.0pp
22%
Away Win
24%
-1.6pp
59%
Under 2.5
56%
+3.7pp
41%
Over 2.5
44%
-3.7pp
45%
BTTS Yes
49%
-3.3pp
55%
BTTS No
51%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Marquense EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Aurora EU Bookmakers 27%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -27% / -27%
1.47/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/2.50
+8% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -49%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
284 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 248 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Marquense
0W-2D-0L
AWAY Aurora
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
6 Total Shots 16
1 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 2
13.10.2025 Marquense Marquense 1-1 HT 0-0 Aurora Aurora GUAT
03.08.2025 Aurora Aurora 1-1 HT 0-0 Marquense Marquense GUAT
POST-MATCH Marquense vs Aurora
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Marquense and Aurora fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Marquense at 55% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Marquense and 1.00 for Aurora.

What was the final score of Marquense vs Aurora?

Marquense 0-0 Aurora in the Guatemala - National League on 26/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Marquense vs Aurora?

Before kick-off our model rated a Marquense win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Marquense 55%, draw 23%, Aurora 22%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Marquense) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Marquense) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
GUAT More Guatemala - National League
26 Feb 2026
00:00 Achuapa vs Xelaju MC Analysis →
04:00 CSD Comunicaciones vs Municipal Analysis →