İtalya U21 4-0 Kuzey Makedonya U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — European U21, 26 Mar 2026

İtalya U21
4-0 HT 1-0
Kuzey Makedonya U21
📅26/03/2026 · 🕒20:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
European U21 – 2027

İtalya U21 vs Kuzey Makedonya U21 Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
77%
1.16
Draw
15%
7.13
Away
8%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.63
Over 2.5
62%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
2.67
No
47%
1.41
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
5.54
2-3 Goals
36%
1.98
4-5 Goals
27%
2.46
6+ Goals
18%
5.48
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
48%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
16%
X/2
2%
X/X
6%
2/1
13%
2/2
3%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
77%
Home Win
82%
-4.6pp
15%
Draw
11%
+3.8pp
8%
Away Win
7%
+0.9pp
38%
Under 2.5
34%
+4.0pp
62%
Over 2.5
66%
-4.0pp
53%
BTTS Yes
33%
+19.9pp
47%
BTTS No
67%
-19.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

İtalya U21 v Kuzey Makedonya U21 — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME İtalya U21 EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY Kuzey Makedonya U21 EU Bookmakers 9%
-4% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +3%
3.06/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.49/2.18
+12% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / -5%
64% Ball Possession 36%
16 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
539 · 88% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 229 · 74%
45.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 5.8
28.6 Crosses 1.2
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.7

İtalya U21 vs Kuzey Makedonya U21 Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME İtalya U21
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Kuzey Makedonya U21
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 0
The Meetings
09.09.2025 Kuzey Makedonya U21 Kuzey Makedonya U21 0-1 HT 0-1 İtalya U21 İtalya U21 U21

İtalya U21 4-0 Kuzey Makedonya U21 — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME İtalya U21
4-0
AWAY Kuzey Makedonya U21
3.35 xG 0.10
70% Ball Possession 30%
25 Total Shots 3
9 Shots on Target 0
9 Corners 2
594 Passes 195
90% Pass Accuracy 74%
64 Box Touches 1
30 Crosses 3
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH İtalya U21 vs Kuzey Makedonya U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

İtalya U21 ran out comfortable winners over Kuzey Makedonya U21 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had İtalya U21 as the likeliest winner at 77%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (62%) came in.

On the day, İtalya U21 had 70% of the ball to Kuzey Makedonya U21's 30%, shots finished 25-3, expected goals 3.35 to 0.10.

What was the final score of İtalya U21 vs Kuzey Makedonya U21?

İtalya U21 4-0 Kuzey Makedonya U21 in the European U21 on 26/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for İtalya U21 vs Kuzey Makedonya U21?

Before kick-off our model rated a İtalya U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 77%, with the full match-result split İtalya U21 77%, draw 15%, Kuzey Makedonya U21 8%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (İtalya U21), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (İtalya U21) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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