Lüksemburg U21 1-5 Fransa U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — European U21, 26 Mar 2026

📅26/03/2026 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 0-4
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
8%
9.57
Draw
13%
6.26
Away
79%
1.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.96
Over 2.5
59%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.96
No
55%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
3%
1/2
10%
1/X
4%
X/1
3%
X/2
21%
X/X
6%
2/1
2%
2/2
47%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ BTTS No ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
8%
Home Win
8%
+0.6pp
13%
Draw
13%
+0.2pp
79%
Away Win
79%
-0.8pp
41%
Under 2.5
30%
+11.1pp
59%
Over 2.5
70%
-11.1pp
45%
BTTS Yes
47%
-1.8pp
55%
BTTS No
53%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lüksemburg U21 EU Bookmakers 10%
Head to Head
AWAY Fransa U21 EU Bookmakers 84%
+8% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -6%
0.22/2.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.44/0.40
+12% / +26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / +18%
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
265 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 497 · 87%
5.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 30.0
5.6 Crosses 20.0
2.6 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lüksemburg U21
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Fransa U21
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
40% Ball Possession 60%
4 Total Shots 20
3 Shots on Target 11
0 Corners 6
11.09.2018 Fransa U21 Fransa U21 2-0 HT 0-0 Lüksemburg U21 Lüksemburg U21 U21
09.10.2017 Lüksemburg U21 Lüksemburg U21 2-3 HT 2-0 Fransa U21 Fransa U21 U21
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lüksemburg U21
1-5
AWAY Fransa U21
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Lüksemburg U21 vs Fransa U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fransa U21 cruised past Lüksemburg U21 5-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-3. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Fransa U21 as the likeliest winner at 79%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (59%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.

On the day, Lüksemburg U21 had 42% of the ball to Fransa U21's 58%, shots finished 8-15.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Fransa U21 led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Lüksemburg U21 and 2.50 for Fransa U21.

What was the final score of Lüksemburg U21 vs Fransa U21?

Lüksemburg U21 1-5 Fransa U21 in the European U21 on 26/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lüksemburg U21 vs Fransa U21?

Before kick-off our model rated an Fransa U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 79%, with the full match-result split Lüksemburg U21 8%, draw 13%, Fransa U21 79%. The final score 1-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fransa U21), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Fransa U21) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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