İrlanda Cumhuriyeti U21 1-1 Moldova U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — European U21, 26 Mar 2026

📅26/03/2026 · 🕒20:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
71%
1.3
Draw
15%
4.95
Away
14%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.15
Over 2.5
54%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.09
No
51%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.82
2-3 Goals
40%
1.79
4-5 Goals
22%
2.92
6+ Goals
14%
9.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
42%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
17%
X/2
4%
X/X
6%
2/1
11%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ BTTS No ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
71%
Home Win
72%
-1.0pp
15%
Draw
17%
-2.4pp
14%
Away Win
11%
+3.5pp
46%
Under 2.5
43%
+3.1pp
54%
Over 2.5
57%
-3.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
44%
+5.5pp
51%
BTTS No
56%
-5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME İrlanda Cumhuriyeti U21 EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Moldova U21 EU Bookmakers 14%
+0% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -1%
1.60/0.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.48/2.42
-29% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -37% / +17%
60% Ball Possession 40%
17 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
432 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 209 · 69%
30.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 8.7
22.0 Crosses 7.7
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME İrlanda Cumhuriyeti U21
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Moldova U21
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.86 xG 0.77
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 5
296 Passes 186
83% Pass Accuracy 69%
23 Box Touches 12
15 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 1
04.09.2025 Moldova U21 Moldova U21 1-2 HT 1-1 İrlanda Cumhuriyeti U21 İrlanda Cumhuriyeti U21 U21
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME İrlanda Cumhuriyeti U21
1-1
AWAY Moldova U21
1.01 xG 1.14
74% Ball Possession 26%
18 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 3
524 Passes 120
87% Pass Accuracy 63%
22 Box Touches 13
34 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH İrlanda Cumhuriyeti U21 vs Moldova U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

İrlanda Cumhuriyeti U21 and Moldova U21 shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

This one beat our numbers. İrlanda Cumhuriyeti U21 carried 71% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, İrlanda Cumhuriyeti U21 had 74% of the ball to Moldova U21's 26%, shots finished 18-11, expected goals 1.01 to 1.14.

What was the final score of İrlanda Cumhuriyeti U21 vs Moldova U21?

İrlanda Cumhuriyeti U21 1-1 Moldova U21 in the European U21 on 26/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for İrlanda Cumhuriyeti U21 vs Moldova U21?

Before kick-off our model rated a İrlanda Cumhuriyeti U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 71%, with the full match-result split İrlanda Cumhuriyeti U21 71%, draw 15%, Moldova U21 14%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (İrlanda Cumhuriyeti U21) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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