CD Victoria 1-0 Marathon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Honduras - National League Apertura, 26 Apr 2024

📅26/04/2024 · 🕒04:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.46
Draw
31%
3.54
Away
39%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.86
Over 2.5
44%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.81
No
48%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
8%
X/2
16%
X/X
17%
2/1
6%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
26%
+4.2pp
31%
Draw
25%
+6.2pp
39%
Away Win
50%
-10.4pp
56%
Under 2.5
50%
+6.0pp
44%
Over 2.5
50%
-6.0pp
52%
BTTS Yes
51%
+0.3pp
48%
BTTS No
49%
-0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CD Victoria EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Marathon EU Bookmakers 54%
+4% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -7%
1.13/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/1.12
+1% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / -11%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
258 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 350 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CD Victoria
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Marathon
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
40% Ball Possession 60%
6 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 7
4 Yellow Cards 4
01.03.2024 Marathon Marathon 2-0 HT 2-0 CD Victoria CD Victoria HON
23.10.2023 CD Victoria CD Victoria 0-1 HT 0-1 Marathon Marathon HON
28.08.2023 Marathon Marathon 1-1 HT 0-0 CD Victoria CD Victoria HON
02.04.2023 CD Victoria CD Victoria 0-1 HT 0-0 Marathon Marathon HON
06.02.2023 Marathon Marathon 1-0 HT 1-0 CD Victoria CD Victoria HON
01.09.2022 Marathon Marathon 1-1 HT 0-0 CD Victoria CD Victoria HON
POST-MATCH CD Victoria vs Marathon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CD Victoria squeezed past Marathon 1-0.

Our pre-match split (30% / 31% / 39%) promised a tight game; CD Victoria found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Marathon led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for CD Victoria and 1.17 for Marathon.

What was the final score of CD Victoria vs Marathon?

CD Victoria 1-0 Marathon in the Honduras - National League Apertura on 26/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CD Victoria vs Marathon?

Before kick-off our model rated an Marathon win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split CD Victoria 30%, draw 31%, Marathon 39%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Marathon), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Marathon) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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HON More Honduras - National League Apertura
26 Apr 2024
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