Motagua 3-0 CD Real Sociedad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Honduras - National League Apertura, 26 Apr 2024

📅26/04/2024 · 🕒02:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.28
Draw
24%
5.15
Away
14%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.23
Over 2.5
51%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.09
No
52%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
5%
X/X
11%
2/1
10%
2/2
5%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
74%
-12.4pp
24%
Draw
16%
+7.8pp
14%
Away Win
10%
+4.5pp
49%
Under 2.5
41%
+7.7pp
51%
Over 2.5
59%
-7.7pp
48%
BTTS Yes
44%
+4.0pp
52%
BTTS No
56%
-4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Motagua EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY CD Real Sociedad EU Bookmakers 12%
-4% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +12%
2.22/0.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.79/2.40
+2% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -14%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 6
8 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
423 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 220 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Motagua
2W-3D-1L
AWAY CD Real Sociedad
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
58% Ball Possession 42%
11 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 2
29.02.2024 CD Real Sociedad CD Real Sociedad 1-3 HT 0-1 Motagua Motagua HON
13.11.2023 CD Real Sociedad CD Real Sociedad 3-2 HT 0-1 Motagua Motagua HON
17.09.2023 Motagua Motagua 0-0 HT 0-0 CD Real Sociedad CD Real Sociedad HON
17.04.2023 Motagua Motagua 2-2 HT 2-1 CD Real Sociedad CD Real Sociedad HON
16.02.2023 CD Real Sociedad CD Real Sociedad 0-0 HT 0-0 Motagua Motagua HON
04.09.2022 CD Real Sociedad CD Real Sociedad 1-2 HT 1-0 Motagua Motagua HON
POST-MATCH Motagua vs CD Real Sociedad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Motagua swept aside CD Real Sociedad 3-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Motagua as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Motagua had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Motagua and 1.17 for CD Real Sociedad.

What was the final score of Motagua vs CD Real Sociedad?

Motagua 3-0 CD Real Sociedad in the Honduras - National League Apertura on 26/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Motagua vs CD Real Sociedad?

Before kick-off our model rated a Motagua win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Motagua 62%, draw 24%, CD Real Sociedad 14%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Motagua), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Motagua) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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