Esteghlal Mollasani 1-2 Sepahan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iran - Cup, 26 Apr 2024

📅26/04/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 0-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
17%
7.78
Draw
18%
4.34
Away
65%
1.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.71
Over 2.5
53%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.6
No
50%
1.43
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2.76
2-3 Goals
45%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
4.23
6+ Goals
9%
20.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
4%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
9%
X/2
16%
X/X
5%
2/1
4%
2/2
41%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
17%
Home Win
11%
+6.5pp
17%
Draw
21%
-3.2pp
65%
Away Win
69%
-3.2pp
47%
Under 2.5
55%
-7.6pp
53%
Over 2.5
45%
+7.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
34%
+15.6pp
50%
BTTS No
66%
-15.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Esteghlal Mollasani EU Bookmakers 13%
Head to Head
AWAY Sepahan EU Bookmakers 72%
+18% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +17%
1.97/1.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/0.00
+123% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% /
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
257 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 355 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Esteghlal Mollasani vs Sepahan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sepahan squeezed past Esteghlal Mollasani 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Sepahan as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

What was the final score of Esteghlal Mollasani vs Sepahan?

Esteghlal Mollasani 1-2 Sepahan in the Iran - Cup on 26/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Esteghlal Mollasani vs Sepahan?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sepahan win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Esteghlal Mollasani 17%, draw 17%, Sepahan 65%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sepahan), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sepahan) ✓ Over 2.5
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