Malavan FC 2-1 Saipa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iran - Cup, 26 Apr 2024

📅26/04/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.57
Draw
32%
3.64
Away
20%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
68%
1.52
Over 2.5
32%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
30%
2.44
No
70%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
2.29
2-3 Goals
38%
1.79
4-5 Goals
17%
5.34
6+ Goals
5%
34.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
22%
X/2
11%
X/X
21%
2/1
4%
2/2
6%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
60%
-11.5pp
32%
Draw
24%
+7.9pp
20%
Away Win
16%
+3.5pp
68%
Under 2.5
62%
+5.8pp
32%
Over 2.5
38%
-5.8pp
30%
BTTS Yes
37%
-6.5pp
70%
BTTS No
63%
+6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Malavan FC EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Saipa EU Bookmakers 19%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
403 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 213 · 68%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Malavan FC
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Saipa
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
9 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 2
10.05.2022 Malavan FC Malavan FC 2-0 HT 1-0 Saipa Saipa IRANAZ
16.01.2014 Saipa Saipa 1-2 HT 1-0 Malavan FC Malavan FC IRAN
POST-MATCH Malavan FC vs Saipa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Malavan FC edged past Saipa 2-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Malavan FC as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (68%), no to both teams scoring (70%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Malavan FC had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Malavan FC and 0.50 for Saipa.

What was the final score of Malavan FC vs Saipa?

Malavan FC 2-1 Saipa in the Iran - Cup on 26/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Malavan FC vs Saipa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Malavan FC win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Malavan FC 48%, draw 32%, Saipa 20%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Malavan FC) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Malavan FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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