Dergview FC 2-2 Ards FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - 1st Division, 26 Apr 2024

Dergview FC
2-2 HT 1-1
Ards FC
📅26/04/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✓
North Ireland - 1st Division – 2023/2024

Dergview FC vs Ards FC Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.08
Draw
28%
3.72
Away
44%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.51
Over 2.5
50%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.46
No
48%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
5.45
2-3 Goals
35%
2.0
4-5 Goals
25%
2.67
6+ Goals
10%
6.49
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
6%
X/2
16%
X/X
17%
2/1
6%
2/2
20%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
29%
-1.3pp
28%
Draw
24%
+4.5pp
44%
Away Win
47%
-3.2pp
50%
Under 2.5
36%
+13.6pp
50%
Over 2.5
64%
-13.6pp
52%
BTTS Yes
64%
-12.2pp
48%
BTTS No
36%
+12.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Dergview FC v Ards FC — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dergview FC EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Ards FC EU Bookmakers 51%
+4% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
1.31/1.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.15/1.89
-16% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +105% / -39%
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
288 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 355 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.0

Dergview FC vs Ards FC Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dergview FC
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Ards FC
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
04.11.2023 Dergview FC Dergview FC 0-3 HT 0-1 Ards FC Ards FC KİRL1
16.09.2023 Ards FC Ards FC 4-2 HT 3-1 Dergview FC Dergview FC KİRL1
28.02.2023 Dergview FC Dergview FC 2-1 HT 0-1 Ards FC Ards FC KİRL1
01.10.2022 Ards FC Ards FC 5-2 HT 4-1 Dergview FC Dergview FC KİRL1
26.02.2022 Dergview FC Dergview FC 2-2 HT 1-1 Ards FC Ards FC KİRL1
19.11.2021 Ards FC Ards FC 1-2 HT 1-1 Dergview FC Dergview FC KİRL1

Dergview FC 2-2 Ards FC — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dergview FC
2-2
AWAY Ards FC
50% Ball Possession 50%
16 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 8
9 Corners 9
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Dergview FC vs Ards FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dergview FC and Ards FC couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Ards FC at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Dergview FC had 50% of the ball to Ards FC's 50%, shots finished 16-12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ards FC led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Dergview FC and 2.67 for Ards FC.

What was the final score of Dergview FC vs Ards FC?

Dergview FC 2-2 Ards FC in the North Ireland - 1st Division on 26/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dergview FC vs Ards FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ards FC win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Dergview FC 28%, draw 28%, Ards FC 44%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Ards FC) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ards FC) ✓ BTTS Yes
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