Portadown FC 0-1 Institute FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - 1st Division, 26 Apr 2024

📅26/04/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.0
Draw
28%
3.64
Away
32%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.38
Over 2.5
51%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.49
No
42%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
5.02
2-3 Goals
40%
1.96
4-5 Goals
21%
2.76
6+ Goals
13%
7.23
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
10%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
10%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
46%
-5.9pp
28%
Draw
24%
+3.6pp
32%
Away Win
30%
+2.3pp
49%
Under 2.5
38%
+11.0pp
51%
Over 2.5
62%
-11.0pp
58%
BTTS Yes
63%
-5.0pp
42%
BTTS No
37%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Portadown FC EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Institute FC EU Bookmakers 33%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +12%
1.92/1.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.50/1.74
-1% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +9%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
308 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Portadown FC
3W-0D-1L
AWAY Institute FC
1.75 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
04.11.2023 Institute FC Institute FC 1-0 HT 1-0 Portadown FC Portadown FC KİRL1
12.08.2023 Portadown FC Portadown FC 1-0 HT 0-0 Institute FC Institute FC KİRL1
05.01.2015 Portadown FC Portadown FC 2-1 HT 1-0 Institute FC Institute FC KİRL
04.10.2014 Institute FC Institute FC 0-4 HT 0-3 Portadown FC Portadown FC KİRL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Portadown FC
0-1
AWAY Institute FC
42% Ball Possession 58%
12 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 6
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Portadown FC vs Institute FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Institute FC nicked a narrow win over Portadown FC 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 28% / 32% — and on the day Institute FC made the difference. The goals read — both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Portadown FC had 42% of the ball to Institute FC's 58%, shots finished 12-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Portadown FC had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for Portadown FC and 0.50 for Institute FC.

What was the final score of Portadown FC vs Institute FC?

Portadown FC 0-1 Institute FC in the North Ireland - 1st Division on 26/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Portadown FC vs Institute FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Portadown FC win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Portadown FC 40%, draw 28%, Institute FC 32%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Portadown FC) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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