Knockbreda 3-4 Newington Youth — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - 1st Division, 26 Apr 2024

📅26/04/2024 · 🕒20:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.29
Draw
26%
3.94
Away
48%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.51
Over 2.5
53%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.49
No
47%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
5.35
2-3 Goals
47%
1.99
4-5 Goals
23%
2.68
6+ Goals
8%
6.62
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
11%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
17%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
20%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
27%
-1.1pp
26%
Draw
22%
+4.2pp
48%
Away Win
52%
-3.1pp
47%
Under 2.5
36%
+11.2pp
53%
Over 2.5
64%
-11.2pp
53%
BTTS Yes
63%
-10.3pp
47%
BTTS No
37%
+10.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Knockbreda EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Newington Youth EU Bookmakers 56%
-6% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+28% / -36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
319 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Knockbreda
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Newington Youth
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 1
20.01.2024 Knockbreda Knockbreda 1-3 HT 1-3 Newington Youth Newington Youth KİRL1
26.08.2023 Newington Youth Newington Youth 2-0 HT 0-0 Knockbreda Knockbreda KİRL1
12.04.2023 Newington Youth Newington Youth 1-1 HT 0-1 Knockbreda Knockbreda KİRL1
04.03.2023 Knockbreda Knockbreda 0-3 HT 0-0 Newington Youth Newington Youth KİRL1
03.01.2023 Newington Youth Newington Youth 3-0 HT 0-0 Knockbreda Knockbreda KİRL1
27.08.2022 Knockbreda Knockbreda 1-0 HT 0-0 Newington Youth Newington Youth KİRL1
POST-MATCH Knockbreda vs Newington Youth
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Newington Youth nicked a narrow win over Knockbreda 4-3 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Newington Youth as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 4-3 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Newington Youth led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Knockbreda and 2.00 for Newington Youth.

What was the final score of Knockbreda vs Newington Youth?

Knockbreda 3-4 Newington Youth in the North Ireland - 1st Division on 26/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Knockbreda vs Newington Youth?

Before kick-off our model rated an Newington Youth win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Knockbreda 26%, draw 26%, Newington Youth 48%. The final score 3-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Newington Youth), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Newington Youth) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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