Yanbian Longding 1-0 Shenzhen Juniors — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division, 26 Apr 2025

📅26/04/2025 · 🕒10:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.92
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
24%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.67
Over 2.5
47%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.95
No
55%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.6
2-3 Goals
40%
1.73
4-5 Goals
22%
4.14
6+ Goals
7%
20.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
19%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
10%
2/2
9%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
48%
+0.1pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.9pp
24%
Away Win
25%
-1.1pp
53%
Under 2.5
56%
-3.1pp
47%
Over 2.5
44%
+3.1pp
45%
BTTS Yes
47%
-1.8pp
55%
BTTS No
53%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Yanbian Longding EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Shenzhen Juniors EU Bookmakers 29%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
0.21/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/0.44
-33% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +72% / -1%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
284 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 336 · 78%
14.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.2
14.0 Crosses 22.2
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Yanbian Longding
1-0
AWAY Shenzhen Juniors
1.83 xG 0.34
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 4
4 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 3
217 Passes 272
72% Pass Accuracy 77%
20 Box Touches 7
20 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Yanbian Longding vs Shenzhen Juniors
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Yanbian Longding nicked a narrow win over Shenzhen Juniors 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Yanbian Longding as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Yanbian Longding had 47% of the ball to Shenzhen Juniors's 53%, shots finished 13-4, expected goals 1.83 to 0.34 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Yanbian Longding's control.

What was the final score of Yanbian Longding vs Shenzhen Juniors?

Yanbian Longding 1-0 Shenzhen Juniors in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division on 26/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Yanbian Longding vs Shenzhen Juniors?

Before kick-off our model rated a Yanbian Longding win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Yanbian Longding 48%, draw 28%, Shenzhen Juniors 24%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Yanbian Longding), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Yanbian Longding) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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