Qingdao Red Lions 1-3 Liaoning Shenyang — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division, 26 Apr 2025

📅26/04/2025 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-2 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
17%
7.95
Draw
24%
4.62
Away
59%
1.33
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.9
Over 2.5
47%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.4
No
58%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.17
2-3 Goals
40%
1.76
4-5 Goals
21%
3.43
6+ Goals
10%
13.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.17 — our 29% vs market 25.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
8%
X/2
14%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
36%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
18%
Home Win
10%
+7.6pp
24%
Draw
19%
+5.0pp
59%
Away Win
71%
-12.5pp
53%
Under 2.5
49%
+4.5pp
47%
Over 2.5
51%
-4.5pp
42%
BTTS Yes
38%
+4.9pp
58%
BTTS No
62%
-4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Qingdao Red Lions EU Bookmakers 13%
Head to Head
AWAY Liaoning Shenyang EU Bookmakers 75%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -15%
1.28/1.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.84/0.56
+86% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +26%
40% Ball Possession 60%
9 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
199 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 457 · 84%
14.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.6
14.0 Crosses 13.5
4.0 Yellow Cards 0.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Qingdao Red Lions
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Liaoning Shenyang
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.19 xG 1.16
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 8
215 Passes 244
67% Pass Accuracy 74%
23 Box Touches 20
19 Crosses 29
2 Yellow Cards 3
12.10.2024 Qingdao Red Lions Qingdao Red Lions 0-1 HT 0-1 Liaoning Shenyang Liaoning Shenyang ÇİN2
01.06.2024 Liaoning Shenyang Liaoning Shenyang 2-2 HT 1-1 Qingdao Red Lions Qingdao Red Lions ÇİN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Qingdao Red Lions
1-3
AWAY Liaoning Shenyang
1.18 xG 1.94
53% Ball Possession 47%
9 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 1
381 Passes 385
82% Pass Accuracy 82%
9 Box Touches 18
16 Crosses 8
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Qingdao Red Lions vs Liaoning Shenyang
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Liaoning Shenyang saw off Qingdao Red Lions 3-1 away from home.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Liaoning Shenyang as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Qingdao Red Lions had 53% of the ball to Liaoning Shenyang's 47%, shots finished 9-11, expected goals 1.18 to 1.94.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Liaoning Shenyang led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Qingdao Red Lions and 1.50 for Liaoning Shenyang.

What was the final score of Qingdao Red Lions vs Liaoning Shenyang?

Qingdao Red Lions 1-3 Liaoning Shenyang in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division on 26/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Qingdao Red Lions vs Liaoning Shenyang?

Before kick-off our model rated an Liaoning Shenyang win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Qingdao Red Lions 18%, draw 24%, Liaoning Shenyang 59%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Liaoning Shenyang) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Liaoning Shenyang) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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