Nanjing City 0-1 Chongqing Tongliang Long — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division, 26 Apr 2025

📅26/04/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.87
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
42%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.62
Over 2.5
42%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.06
No
58%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
38%
2.46
2-3 Goals
38%
1.74
4-5 Goals
18%
4.43
6+ Goals
6%
23.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.46 — our 38% vs market 33.2%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
19%
X/X
17%
2/1
8%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
22%
+6.9pp
29%
Draw
26%
+2.4pp
42%
Away Win
52%
-9.3pp
58%
Under 2.5
58%
+0.3pp
42%
Over 2.5
42%
-0.3pp
42%
BTTS Yes
44%
-2.8pp
58%
BTTS No
56%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nanjing City EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Chongqing Tongliang Long EU Bookmakers 56%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -38% / -38%
0.92/1.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/0.59
-9% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / -26%
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
188 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 359 · 80%
24.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.9
17.0 Crosses 19.9
4.8 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nanjing City
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Chongqing Tongliang Long
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.11 xG 2.58
47% Ball Possession 53%
4 Total Shots 16
1 Shots on Target 4
0 Corners 6
228 Passes 266
68% Pass Accuracy 72%
5 Box Touches 18
10 Crosses 21
4 Yellow Cards 3
28.09.2024 Chongqing Tongliang Long Chongqing Tongliang Long 1-0 HT 0-0 Nanjing City Nanjing City ÇİN2
11.05.2024 Nanjing City Nanjing City 1-2 HT 1-0 Chongqing Tongliang Long Chongqing Tongliang Long ÇİN2
POST-MATCH Nanjing City vs Chongqing Tongliang Long
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chongqing Tongliang Long nicked a narrow win over Nanjing City 1-0 away from home.

As we said in the preview, our model had Chongqing Tongliang Long as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Chongqing Tongliang Long led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Nanjing City and 1.50 for Chongqing Tongliang Long.

What was the final score of Nanjing City vs Chongqing Tongliang Long?

Nanjing City 0-1 Chongqing Tongliang Long in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division on 26/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nanjing City vs Chongqing Tongliang Long?

Before kick-off our model rated an Chongqing Tongliang Long win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Nanjing City 29%, draw 29%, Chongqing Tongliang Long 42%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chongqing Tongliang Long), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Chongqing Tongliang Long) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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