Chongqing Tongliang Long 1-0 Nanjing City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division, 28 Sep 2024

📅28/09/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.64
Draw
31%
3.54
Away
26%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.68
Over 2.5
46%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.06
No
50%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.74
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
4.25
6+ Goals
12%
21.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
9%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
57%
-14.1pp
32%
Draw
25%
+6.6pp
26%
Away Win
18%
+7.6pp
54%
Under 2.5
56%
-1.4pp
46%
Over 2.5
44%
+1.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
44%
+5.9pp
50%
BTTS No
56%
-5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chongqing Tongliang Long EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Nanjing City EU Bookmakers 21%
+16% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
1.10/0.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.31
+38% / +54% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / -30%
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
368 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 265 · 75%
21.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.4
22.7 Crosses 16.6
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chongqing Tongliang Long
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Nanjing City
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
2.58 xG 0.11
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 4
4 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 0
266 Passes 228
72% Pass Accuracy 68%
18 Box Touches 5
21 Crosses 10
3 Yellow Cards 4
11.05.2024 Nanjing City Nanjing City 1-2 HT 1-0 Chongqing Tongliang Long Chongqing Tongliang Long ÇİN2
POST-MATCH Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Nanjing City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chongqing Tongliang Long nicked a narrow win over Nanjing City 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Chongqing Tongliang Long as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

What was the final score of Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Nanjing City?

Chongqing Tongliang Long 1-0 Nanjing City in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Nanjing City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chongqing Tongliang Long win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Chongqing Tongliang Long 43%, draw 32%, Nanjing City 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chongqing Tongliang Long), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Chongqing Tongliang Long) ✓ Under 2.5
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