Gloucester City 2-2 Gosport Borough — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 26 Apr 2025

📅26/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.96
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
27%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under
45%
2.18
Over Pick
55%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.6
No
50%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1
23%
2-3
43%
4-5
23%
6+
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
12%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
47%
+1.7pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.9pp
27%
Away Win
30%
-2.6pp
45%
Under 2.5
42%
+3.1pp
55%
Over 2.5
58%
-3.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
58%
-8.4pp
50%
BTTS No
42%
+8.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gloucester City EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Gosport Borough EU Bookmakers 33%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -5%
1.79/1.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.45
+12% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +5%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
394 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gloucester City
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Gosport Borough
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
44% Ball Possession 56%
14 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 2
12.02.2025 Gosport Borough Gosport Borough 1-3 HT 0-0 Gloucester City Gloucester City İNGNLP
17.09.2024 Gloucester City Gloucester City 0-2 Gosport Borough Gosport Borough FAK
14.09.2024 Gosport Borough Gosport Borough 2-2 HT 0-0 Gloucester City Gloucester City FAK
POST-MATCH Gloucester City vs Gosport Borough
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gloucester City and Gosport Borough shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Gloucester City at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Gloucester City and 1.67 for Gosport Borough.

What was the final score of Gloucester City vs Gosport Borough?

Gloucester City 2-2 Gosport Borough in the England - Non League Premier on 26/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gloucester City vs Gosport Borough?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gloucester City win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Gloucester City 49%, draw 24%, Gosport Borough 27%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Gloucester City) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Gloucester City) ✓ Over 2.5
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